Vol 67 No 6 | MOZAMBIQUERWANDACONGO-KINSHASAEUROPEAN UNION Kigali threatens to stop guarding gas project in Cabo Delgado 18th March 2026 Targeted by EU and US sanctions, Rwanda says it won’t protect western assets in Mozambique without new funding Neither side has blinked yet in the poker game between Rwandan officials and their counterparts in the United States and the European Union. A flurry of meetings...
Vol 67 No 6 | ERITREAETHIOPIA How Abiy’s march north could ignite the Horn 17th March 2026 As the federal government masses troops along Tigray’s borders, the prime minister is weighing his most perilous gamble yet As much of the world focused on the United States-Israeli war with Iran this month, Ethiopian army convoys carrying heavy weapons were filmed moving north in broad daylight....
Vol 67 No 6 | KENYAFRANCEAFRICA Macron tries a multipolar reset at Nairobi summit 12th March 2026 As France hosts its first-ever summit in Anglophone Africa bringing in Kenya, Uganda, Germany and India, it tries to drop the old post-colonial playbook The choice of Kenya to host the France-Africa summit on 11-12 May, a first for an Anglophone state, suits the policy aims of both President Emmanuel Macron and...
Vol 67 No 6 | UGANDA The heir presumptive goes on the offensive 11th March 2026 With Museveni's seventh term secured, his son General Muhoozi is silencing rivals and packing the cabinet with loyalists In many ways Chief of Defence Forces General Muhoozi Kainerugaba is claiming his father President Yoweri Kaguta Museveni’s victory in the 15 January elections as his own breakthrough....
Vol 67 No 5 | SOMALIA Constitutional talks collapse 6th March 2026 Hassan Sheikh tightens his grip while a divided opposition flounders, fuelling fears of an increasingly authoritarian turn After months of wrangling over constitutional review and the electoral process, February was expected to mark a breakthrough – a moment to settle proposed constitutional changes, agree on...
Vol 67 No 5 | RWANDACONGO-KINSHASAUNITED STATES More pressure on Kigali 6th March 2026 President Félix Tshisekedi’s government is pressing its diplomatic advantage after the US State Department sanctioned the Rwandan Defence Force (RDF) and four of its senior commanders for their...
Vol 67 No 5 | SOMALIAUNITED STATESSOMALILAND Love me, love my minerals 27th February 2026 Somaliland and Somalia are in a mining-based competition to influence Washington’s stance but the prevailing mood there may be indifference Somaliland Minister of the Presidency Khadar Hussein Abdi repeated on 21 February an oft-made promise: Hargeisa will grant the United States access to its mineral resources, including lithium...
Vol 67 No 4 | ETHIOPIA Creditors’ quarrels hold back debt deal 20th February 2026 State lenders claim that private creditors have secured unfair advantages in Addis Ababa’s drawn-out debt restructuring talks Seven months after signing a crucial memorandum of understanding (MoU) with bilateral creditors, Ethiopia’s hopes that recent progress in negotiations with bondholders would hasten a comprehensive debt-restructuring agreement...
Vol 67 No 4 | ETHIOPIA Economy gets pre-election boost 20th February 2026 Government claims double-digit expansion, yet hardship and scepticism remain widespread With Ethiopia heading to the polls in June, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and his ruling Prosperity Party radiate optimism on the economy. Not only has annual inflation returned...
Vol 67 No 4 | KENYARUSSIA Cannon fodder on the front line 20th February 2026 A report by the All Eyes on Wagner (AEOW) investigative group, published on 11 February, lists 1,417 fighters from 35 African countries who joined the Russian army between...