Jump to navigation

Congo-Kinshasa

Tshisekedi tests opinion with third-term kite

CONGO-KINSHASA: The war in the Kivus rumbles on after a year of negotiations. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
CONGO-KINSHASA: The war in the Kivus rumbles on after a year of negotiations. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

The President’s hints at ending term limits and delaying the 2028 polls unsettle investors wary of conflict in Africa’s biggest copper producer

Congolese voters have been presented with a fait accompli but their acquiescence is not guaranteed. President Felix Tshisekedi, who is midway through his second term, says the rebel bid for secession in vast swathes of Kivu-Nord and Kivu-Sud means it would be ‘impossible’ to hold presidential elections in 2028. He also says that if ‘the people’ ask him to serve another term, he would accept, even though the Congolese constitution expressly rules out any change to a two-term presidential limit.


Immigration ire exposes faltering state

Malawian nationals at Beitbridge Border Post making their way back home from South Africa under the Malawi government's voluntary repatriation exercise. Pic: @MalawiGovt
Malawian nationals at Beitbridge Border Post making their way back home from South Africa under the Malawi government's voluntary repatriation exercise. Pic: @MalawiGovt

Growing public anger over enforcement failures is raising doubts about whether the government can still assert its authority

President Cyril Ramaphosa’s government faces a challenge that reaches far beyond immigration. The rise of anti-immigration movements across South Africa is exposing deeper doubts about the country’s ability...


Not yet ubuntu

The SA Border Management Authority processes 663 Ghanaian nationals for repatriation from South Africa to Ghana through OR Tambo International Airport, 6 June 2026. Pic: @TheBMA_SA
The SA Border Management Authority processes 663 Ghanaian nationals for repatriation from South Africa to Ghana through OR Tambo International Airport, 6 June 2026. Pic: @TheBMA_SA

Evacuations of Ghanaians fleeing xenophobic attacks have strained Accra-Pretoria ties, exposing divisions between historic Pan-African partners

The Ghana government’s repatriation of over 950 Ghanaian citizens from South Africa has yielded a surge in support locally for President John Mahama’s government even as it signals...


After the IMF, Accra targets growth

GHANA: GROWTH, DEBT, RESERVES AND INFLATION MOVE IN RIGHT DIRECTION. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
GHANA: GROWTH, DEBT, RESERVES AND INFLATION MOVE IN RIGHT DIRECTION. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

Accra’s roadshow hits the London stage, but investors are looking beyond the macro-data to assess the reforms

Ghana’s exit from its US$3 billion International Monetary Fund lending programme in May, followed by an economic roadshow in London including meetings with Prime Minister Keir Starmer and...


Mnangagwa’s 2030 power bid hits the barracks

Kudakwashe Tagwirei. Pic: @cozwva
Kudakwashe Tagwirei. Pic: @cozwva

Behind the constitution debate is a struggle over the post-Mugabe state with presidential allies, disgruntled generals and a fragmented opposition testing their strength

Parliament’s debate on Constitutional Amendment Bill Number 3 starting on 2 June has opened a wider battle over Zimbabwe’s political order, as the bill would extend elected terms...


Region prepares for a crisis it can’t afford

Ebola survivor discharged from care and reunited with his community, Mongbwalu, Ituri, 10 June 2026. Pic: @DrTedros
Ebola survivor discharged from care and reunited with his community, Mongbwalu, Ituri, 10 June 2026. Pic: @DrTedros

Health agencies and governments have announced new Ebola-related projects and promised tighter screening – but who will pay for them?

Coordination and harmonisation is the mantra of health officials as they race to contain the Ebola outbreak in north-eastern Congo-Kinshasa. With no vaccine for the Bundibugyo strain beyond...


IMF critiques Abuja’s opaque lending

Group CEO, NNPC Ltd Bashir Bayo Ojulari and Afreximbank President George Elombi, NNPC Towers, Abuja, May 2026. Pic: @nnpclimited
Group CEO, NNPC Ltd Bashir Bayo Ojulari and Afreximbank President George Elombi, NNPC Towers, Abuja, May 2026. Pic: @nnpclimited

After the Tinubu government sold forward 14% of national oil production last year, it is borrowing US$5 billion from the UAE

The IMF’s warning on 9 June to President Bola Tinubu’s government of the financial risks of a US$5 billion loan package via a series of derivative contracts with...


Probe targets over $20bn of the NNPC’s crude oil loans

Abdulkabir Adisa Aliu. Pic: matrixenergygroup.com

Tinubu ally and Matrix Energy chief Abdulkabir Aliu is fighting a bid by an anti-corruption agency to police forward oil sales

The investigation into over US$20 billion of forward oil sales by the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) is widening its remit to include top officials of the...


Ruto puts a downpayment on his second term

William Ruto in Kisumu. Pic: @WilliamsRuto
William Ruto in Kisumu. Pic: @WilliamsRuto

In Kisumu and Mombasa, ODM's courtship of Ruto has come with a price tag — and the local voters know exactly what it is

Even a year ago, few would have imagined that Kisumu, Kenya’s main port city on Lake Victoria, and late opposition leader Raila Odinga’s fiefdom for four decades, would...


How Anita Among lost the House to the succession wars

Anita Among and Thomas Tayebwa at the swearing-in ceremony of President Yoweri Museveni, 12 May 2026. Pic: @Parliament_Ug
Anita Among and Thomas Tayebwa at the swearing-in ceremony of President Yoweri Museveni, 12 May 2026. Pic: @Parliament_Ug

Museveni's inner circle has moved to curb a Speaker who had built her own political machine as the question as to who succeeds him edges closer

For months, Speaker of Parliament Anita Among looked too powerful to remove. She had money, reach and an expanding network inside the ruling National Resistance Movement, but those...


Abiy’s Prosperity Party is set for another crushing majority

Abiy Ahmed votes. Pic: @ebczena
Abiy Ahmed votes. Pic: @ebczena

Behind a calm polling day is a harsher reality – fractured opposition parties, shuttered constituencies and insurgents determined to shoot their way to power

Lengthy queues formed before the polling stations opened at six in the morning on 1 June in national elections that are expected to produce an overwhelming majority for...


Western economies rewrite the finance rules – with strings attached

Deputy UN Secretary-General Amina Mohammed speaks at the Future of Development Cooperation Coalition Reception at the Iron Gate restaurant in Dupont Circle, Washington, DC, 15 April 2026. Pic: UN Photo/Leila Minkara
Deputy UN Secretary-General Amina Mohammed speaks at the Future of Development Cooperation Coalition Reception at the Iron Gate restaurant in Dupont Circle, Washington, DC, 15 April 2026. Pic: UN Photo/Leila Minkara

Self-interest is driving the redesign of global cooperation after historic cuts in aid budgets

Hopes that the swingeing aid cuts, which have reduced official development assistance by almost 30% over the last two years, might be slowed or reversed have been comprehensively...


Samaila Zubairu – the AFC’s dealmaker in chief

Samaila Zubairu. Pic: africafc.org
Samaila Zubairu. Pic: africafc.org

The African Finance Corporation’s US$2 billion syndicated loan on 4 June – the largest in the AFC’s 17-year history – marked the latest success in President and Chief Executive Samaila Zubairu’s drive to transform the institution from a Nigeria-focused investment arm into a genuinely pan-continental player. The AFC had initially sought $1.6bn but increased the target to $2bn due to strong demand. New interest is coming from banks in China, Hong Kong and South Korea, which Zubairu has identified as heavyweight investors. They accounted for around 35% of participating lenders, matching the share from European banks, while lenders from the Gulf and wider Middle East provided another 25%.

The Africa Finance Corporation’s US$2 billion syndicated loan on 4 June – the largest in the AFC’s 17-year history – marked the latest success in President and Chief...


Cash for impeachment

Pic: H.E. Rigathi Gachagua, EGH FB
Pic: H.E. Rigathi Gachagua, EGH FB

Rigathi Gachagua won the argument but lost the political battle after the High Court ruled that he was denied due process during the Senate hearing that led to...


The ANC is running out of successors it can trust

SOUTH AFRICA'S METRO MUNICIPALITIES: How the parties stand. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
SOUTH AFRICA'S METRO MUNICIPALITIES: How the parties stand. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

The party is discovering that its patronage culture is disqualifying most of those best placed to lead it as Ramaphosa struggles to shape the unfolding contest

Cyril Ramaphosa has spent much of his presidency surviving political crises without ever fully restoring his authority. The Phala Phala scandal did not remove him from office, as...


Tinubu’s machine storms the primaries

NIGERIA'S 2027 PRIMARIES: The battlegrounds that could upset Tinubu's blueprint. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
NIGERIA'S 2027 PRIMARIES: The battlegrounds that could upset Tinubu's blueprint. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

The President holds all the cards – money, incumbency and a weakened opposition – but volatile states could complicate voting next January

With nearly 10.9 million votes at the All Progressives Congress (APC) primary, President Bola Tinubu is confident of a resounding victory at the January 2027 polls. He will...


Ruto squeezes the budget before the vote

William Ruto. Pic: @WilliamsRuto
William Ruto. Pic: @WilliamsRuto

Fuel price hikes and a tougher tax regime are testing how far the government can push voters before anger spills back onto the streets


Africa is still getting a raw deal

AFRICA: MUCH GREATER CRITICAL MINERALS INVESTMENTS NEEDED. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026
AFRICA: MUCH GREATER CRITICAL MINERALS INVESTMENTS NEEDED. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2026

International rivalries are proving more of a drag than a catalyst to boosting metals and minerals processing on the continent


Faye fires Sonko as the debt trap tightens

Sacked PM Sonko elected parliamentary Speaker, 26/5/26
Sacked PM Sonko elected parliamentary Speaker, 26/5/26

The late-night dismissal of the charismatic prime minister has broken one of West Africa’s most celebrated political partnerships


Much more than optics

Ghana's Foreign Minister Samuel Okudzeto Ablakwa introduces Resolution  declaring the Trafficking of Enslaved Africans and the Racialised Chattel Enslavement of Africans as the Gravest Crime Against Humanity, 25 March 2026. Pic: UN Photo/Manuel Elías
Ghana's Foreign Minister Samuel Okudzeto Ablakwa introduces Resolution declaring the Trafficking of Enslaved Africans and the Racialised Chattel Enslavement of Africans as the Gravest Crime Against Humanity, 25 March 2026. Pic: UN Photo/Manuel Elías


Africa’s minerals drive a global scramble

Kansanshi Copper-Gold Mine, Zambia. Pic: Aerial View / stock.adobe.com
Kansanshi Copper-Gold Mine, Zambia. Pic: Aerial View / stock.adobe.com

Rival powers are accelerating stockpiling, price floor schemes and bilateral deals as they compete for the continent’s strategic resources