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Oppositionists mobilise against Faure’s constitutional fix

Faure Gnassingbé. Pic :@PresidenceTg

After 20 years in power, the president is avoiding term limits by becoming an executive prime minister with no constraints on his rule

After launching a rights charter, opposition parties and civil society groups are campaigning against the new constitution coming into effect on 6 May. One transitional year after its formal promulgation by President Faure Gnassingbé, he is now set to assume the premiership, concentrating all executive authority in that role. The presidency will become purely ceremonial.


Western aid cuts reshape the geopolitical landscape

INTERNATIONAL AID: After the high point deep cuts are coming. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
INTERNATIONAL AID: After the high point deep cuts are coming. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

As western countries slash aid budgets, China, Turkey and the Gulf States step up the competition for soft power and commercial advantage

The 90-day freeze on almost all United States aid imposed on 20 January by President Donald Trump, together with swingeing cuts in assistance by other rich western economies,...

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US retreat opens door to Chinese and Russian influence

Pic: christianthiel.net / stock.adobe.com
Pic: christianthiel.net / stock.adobe.com

Trump’s swingeing aid cuts will accelerate decline of US soft power in this heavily contested region

Washington’s 90-day freeze on humanitarian and development programmes is escalating into a full-scale withdrawal undercutting United States’ influence, especially in the Horn of Africa wracked by multiple conflicts...


Tinubu aims for Africa’s top economy slot

NIGERIA GDP: Abuja to claim top economy ranking after rebasing. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
NIGERIA GDP: Abuja to claim top economy ranking after rebasing. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025.

Officials in Abuja hope the country’s recalculated GDP can help recover its ranking and prove the government’s harsh reforms are working

A full-throated public relations campaign is under way to show that President Bola Tinubu’s reforms are bearing fruit after two troubling years with most Nigerians hit by a...


Changing course after an oil spill

Kevin Okyere. Pic: @KevinOkyere1
Kevin Okyere. Pic: @KevinOkyere1

The new government has made a U-turn on the oil field battle between Italy’s Eni and former political favourite Springfield

On 25 February, Energy Minister John Jinapor cancelled a directive by the previous New Patriotic Party government which sought to unitise two adjacent oil fields: one operated by...


Mahama’s government goes private

John Dramani Mahama. Pic: @JDMahama
John Dramani Mahama. Pic: @JDMahama

The new government mulls privatising its electricity and water companies as well as prisons

Cruising to power on promise-packed manifesto, John Dramani Mahama has made several radical moves in his first two months in office, but his plan to sell off the...


Tax and spend row opens new schism in coalition

Enoch Godongwana. Pic: parliamentofrsa
Enoch Godongwana. Pic: parliamentofrsa

The Government of National Unity’s credibility is on the line as finance minister Godongwana prepares to return to parliament with an amended budget

When finance minister Enoch Godongwana told the cabinet on 19 February of his plan to raise value added tax to 17% from 15% just hours before he was...


French troops bid a hasty adieu

Ceremony to mark the formal withdrawal of French troops from Chad, Adji Kossei military base, Ndjamena, 31 January 2025. Pic: Mbaigolmem Arnaud/Xinhua/Alamy
Ceremony to mark the formal withdrawal of French troops from Chad, Adji Kossei military base, Ndjamena, 31 January 2025. Pic: Mbaigolmem Arnaud/Xinhua/Alamy

The departure ends an era amid mounting challenges to President Mahamat with a deepening social crisis and overspill from Sudan’s war

On 31 January, a quiet ceremony took place at the Sergeant Adji Kossei air base in Ndjamena to mark the complete departure of all French troops from Chad,...


Mahamat’s UAE ties could unravel

Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno ‘Kaka’. Pic: presidence.td
Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno ‘Kaka’. Pic: presidence.td

As General Burhan and the SAF gain ground, President Mahamat and his allies will face growing pressure at home and in Darfur

All eyes are on Sudan, especially now that the military dynamics are shifting in eastern and central areas in favour of Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) commander General Abdel...


Islamic State may claw back big losses in Puntland

Said Abdullahi Deni. Pic: @HESaidADeni
Said Abdullahi Deni. Pic: @HESaidADeni

Garowe claims victory over Da’ish but the Jihadists are firmly established and can support operations across the region

After nearly two months of hard fighting, the Puntland authorities have announced they expect their campaign against Islamic State in Somalia to conclude successfully. The Islamic State (IS...


Anglophone separatists’ campaign reaches bloody stalemate

Lucas Ayaba Cho. Pic: agovc.org
Lucas Ayaba Cho. Pic: agovc.org

Schisms among the Anglophones and brutal repression by President Biya’s forces are blocking the separatists

Eight years of gruesome clashes between Anglophone separatists and government troops have brought a Federal Republic of Ambazonia in the North-West and South-West provinces, which some Anglophones call...


Corruption and power struggles plague recovery plan

Pic: @NOC_Libya
Pic: @NOC_Libya

Militia leaders and their political allies continue to siphon oil revenues, overriding timid reform attempts

Oil production, the lifeblood of Libya’s economy, is nearing 1.4 million barrels a day; a substantial hike but still 200,000 b/d below target. Political manoeuvring and rampant corruption...


Hemeti struggles to launch in Nairobi, again

Heads of State and Government Meeting on the crises in Sudan and the Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, Addis Ababa, February 2025. Pic: @MusaliaMudavadi
Heads of State and Government Meeting on the crises in Sudan and the Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, Addis Ababa, February 2025. Pic: @MusaliaMudavadi

As its ties strengthen with the United Arab Emirates, President Ruto’s government is helping Sudan’s RSF militia

Kenyan diplomats and the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) under General Abdel Fattah al Burhan have waded into a new diplomatic row over plans by his rival General Mohamed...


Rice and racketeering

Chaka Fattah
Chaka Fattah

President Joseph Boakai continues to splash the cash on lobbyists in Washington, DC. But this time he has agreed to pay more than US$500,000 to a former United...


Gold is booming amid the geopolitical chaos

Africa's mineral reserves. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
Africa's mineral reserves. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

Political and economic risks are holding back countries hoping to benefit from a critical minerals boom

Africa’s gold miners, great and small, are reaping benefits from the mounting geopolitical chaos. The gold price, which surged 20% in 2024 due to escalating political risks, has...

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The generals choose partition over peace

SUDAN: THE THREAT OF PARTITION The SAF consolidates in the Eastern Nile while the RSF dominates Darfur. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
SUDAN: THE THREAT OF PARTITION The SAF consolidates in the Eastern Nile while the RSF dominates Darfur. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

General Burhan’s SAF has won back the eastern and central lands taken by the RSF but a deadly stalemate persists

The battle for control of Khartoum is raging. The Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) led by General Abdel Fattah al Burhan is fighting for control of what is left...


Embaló seizes total power

Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Pic: @Presidencia_GB
Umaro Sissoco Embaló. Pic: @Presidencia_GB

With his close ally General Biaguê, the President has all but destroyed the country’s democracy within five years


Ncube’s great expectations thwarted

ZIMBABWE: Growth rebounding, but new currency struggling. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025
ZIMBABWE: Growth rebounding, but new currency struggling. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2025

High ambition has not been matched by progress on debt negotiations, as discussions with the IMF drag on


Making enemies of the press

Pic: @NationMediaGrp
Pic: @NationMediaGrp

The country’s leading media group faces financial struggles and competition from social platforms, while foreign outlets expand in Nairobi


Kinshasa cries foul on Arsenal FC

Thérèse Kayikwamba Wagner and Lord Collins of Highbury, Accra, January 2025. Pic @kayikwambaT
Thérèse Kayikwamba Wagner and Lord Collins of Highbury, Accra, January 2025. Pic @kayikwambaT

Foreign minister Wagner quietly dropped in to London to undermine Rwanda’s sponsorship deal with a football club known for its prominent Labour supporters