Vol 65 No 16 |
- RUSSIA
- AFRICA
Sandwiched between two zones of existing Russian influence President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno ‘Kaka' has flirted with Russia particularly since his May victory in an election key opposition leaders were prevented from contesting...
They also vehemently oppose the policy of President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno ‘Kaka' of providing supplies to RSF...
As predicted here Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka' got 61% of the votes – the usual margin of victory his late father Idriss Déby Itno awarded himself – with rival candidates Succès Masra the prime minister and Albert Pahimi Padacké being assigned 19% and 17% respectively on a claimed turnout of 76% (AC Vol 65 No 6 Kaka paves a hard road to sham poll)...
His official score was relatively high compared to elections under Idriss Déby...
The vote for Albert Pahimi a longtime ally of Idriss Déby Itno was close enough to Masra's and the intent was to show that Masra is just one of many southern politicians...
Succès Masra by turning on Mahamat Idriss Déby 'Kaka' during the election campaign had forfeited his position and the new premier is Alla-Maye Halina a Mousseye/Banana from Mayo-Kebbi region who had been head of protocol at the presidency for 13 years before being appointed ambassador to China last year...
DISPATCHES
Few doubted that President General Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka' would be declared the winner in the first round and last week election officials announced that Kaka had won 61...
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Yet nobody doubts that President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka' will win probably with over 50% removing the need for a second round on 22 June...
As under the incumbent's father Idriss Déby Itno no northern candidate was permitted for fear of sowing further division in the elite while the killing of Kaka's cousin Yaya Dillo Djérou reminded members of Kaka's extended family that they must stay in line (AC Vol 65 No 6 Kaka paves a hard road to sham poll)...
Questions will then be asked of Chad's leader Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka' about his commitment to solidarity with his Zaghawa people on the Sudanese side of the border (AC Vol 65 No 2 Mahamat Kaka co-opts Succès in pre-election campaign)...
Chad's leader Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka' who is preparing for elections on 6 May will ensure his government gets a signficant allocation of funds for humanitarian operations in the east of his country...
Chad's letter also contains evidence that the US may also have been acting insensitively as well as insights into President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka''s regime in the run-up to the presidential election on 6 May (AC Vol 65 No 6 Kaka paves a hard road to sham poll)...
He is close to Idriss Youssouf Boy Kaka's most senior advisor and his sister was married to Kaka's late father President Idriss Déby Itno...
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The death of Yaya Dillo acting President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka's' cousin decisively tightens the strongman's grip on the Bideyat the Chadian branch of the Zaghawa the ethnic group which is the backbone of Chad's security and military apparatus (Dispatches 7/3/24 Kaka confirms presidential run three days after opposition leader is shot)...
Several PSF members including Idriss Déby Itno's youngest brother Salaye Déby Itno who owned the building were arrested in a humiliating manner...
Idriss Déby killed several rivals over the years: Abbas Koty in 1993 and Ibni Oumar Mahamat Saleh in 2008 to name but two (AC Vol 52 No 9 Déby on top)...
Yaya Dillo's winding path to the opposition Yaya Dillo Djérou was part of the Bideyat ruling elite and walked a tortuous route from trusted member of the inner circle to bitter opponent of President Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka'...
His mother belonged to the Kouriara the same sub-clan as Idriss Déby Itno and Mahamat Kaka...
Yaya Dillo joined Idriss Déby's Darfur-based rebellion against the government of Chad in 1989 while still a teenager and became part of the inner ruling circle...
But in 2005 he broke with Idriss Déby left Ndjamena and established the Socle pour le Changement l'Unité et la Démocratie (SCUD) in Darfur the first armed group to take arms against Idriss Déby...
Eventually however he was in opposition to Idriss Déby yet again having broken a cardinal rule of the regime forming an opposition movement as a northerner...
He even set up his own party the Parti Socialiste sans Frontières (PSF) and became a celebrity in Chad by publicly accusing Idriss Déby's wife Hinda Mahamat Abdelrahim Açyl of embezzling state funds in 2020...
Humiliated Idriss Déby sent troops to arrest Yaya Dillo at home in February 2021 a few weeks before the presidential elections...
DISPATCHES
Fears that May's presidential elections will amount to little more than a coronation for military leader Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno 'Kaka' appear to have been confirmed after his recently co-opted Prime Minister Succès Masra announced that he would also stand in the polls...
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