Luhya voters had to choose between local man Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi and Odinga and were crucial as were a dozen smaller ethnic groups (AC Vol 54 No 5 Jubilee aims to win it in one & Swing counties hold the key)...
The electronic results that had reached it suggested that the number of rejected ballots (placed in the wrong box or where voters’ intentions could not be detected) would top an incredible 600 000 nationwide with an apparently excessive vote for the third candidate Musalia Mudavadi...
Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi could be the kingmaker...
They may well support Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi’s United Democratic Front which is likely to be in third place after the first round with about 5% of the vote...
More recently when Musalia Mudavadi left Odinga’s Orange Democratic Movement a move said to have been influenced by forces within State House keen to disrupt the ODM’s Western Kenya support base that also did not produce the desired effect...
Second-tier candidates such as the United Democratic Front’s Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi Martha Karua from Narc-Kenya (formerly the National Rainbow Alliance) Peter Kenneth of the Kenya National Congress and James ole Kiyiapi of the Restore and Build Kenya party tried to make an impression but didn’t make the breakthrough they had hoped for...
In 2013 Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi may control the largest bloc of votes outside the two main coalitions although he seems to be supported by only half of his own Luhya community...
The collapse of a pre-election pact between Kenyatta and Ruto on the one hand and Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi of the United Democratic Front on the other had all but lost the Jubilee Alliance any real chance in Western Kenya the second biggest voting bloc after Mount Kenya and possibly in the Rift Valley where all elections have been determined...
Similarly the Jubilee Alliance of Kenyatta Ruto and Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi was a reprise of the conservative grouping fronted by President Moi in 2002...
With Kibaki’s camp split over the succession – whether to back Uhuru Kenyatta or Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi – some strategists argue for another postponement of the elections...
He has lost his key ally Wycliffe Musalia Mudavadi in Western province and other supporters on the Coast...
Among those likely to profit politically from his death is Musalia Mudavadi...