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Published 6th July 2023

Vol 64 No 14


Zambia

Hichilema hails 'mission impossible' deal

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023

Lusaka's debt-restructuring brokered by France's Emmanuel Macron resonated more than his summit to redraw the global finance system

A deal to restructure US$6.3 billion of Zambia's foreign debt gives President Hakainde Hichilema much of what he was looking for – a resolution after almost two years of tortuous negotiations and a sharp cut in debt service obligations worth an estimated $5.8bn ahead of the next election in 2026. A creditor source told Africa Confidential the terms were 'unbelievably generous': they include a three-year grace period in which only $75 million a year is due in interest.

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Macron makes a U-turn on autocracy

Emmanuel Macron and Faustin-Archange Touadera at the Elysee Palace. Pic: Julien Mattia/Le Pictorium/MAXPPP/Alamy
Emmanuel Macron and Faustin-Archange Touadera at the Elysee Palace. Pic: Julien Mattia/Le Pictorium/MAXPPP/Alamy

France has dropped objections to presidential assaults on democracy in a return of Cold War-style geopolitics designed to exclude Russia

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Reliving Darfur's tragic history 20 years on

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023

The floundering attempts at a ceasefire around Khartoum are ignoring the growing threat of regional conflagration in the west

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BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

The deal to restructure over US$6 billion of Zambia's foreign debt is a triumph for President Hakainde Hichilema, under whose government the country will save billions in repayments if, as is now much more likely, he secures a second term.

Much kudos should go to Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane, who deftly navigated pressures from a smorgasbord of rival creditors. Getting creditors led by China and France to agree the core terms – extending maturities over some 20 years w...

The deal to restructure over US$6 billion of Zambia's foreign debt is a triumph for President Hakainde Hichilema, under whose government the country will save billions in repayments if, as is now much more likely, he secures a second term.

Much kudos should go to Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane, who deftly navigated pressures from a smorgasbord of rival creditors. Getting creditors led by China and France to agree the core terms – extending maturities over some 20 years with a three-year grace period – had looked impossible.

What does this mean for 70 low-income countries owing some $326bn? Zambia's breakthrough, with all its national specificities, is not a blueprint. It reinforces the case for global financial reform, the subject of President Macron's conference in Paris where the deal was announced.

Delegates in Paris struggled to agree on first principles: western treasuries are cutting funds to developing economies; many middle-income countries are chary about the IMF and World Bank doing much more on debt and infrastructure; China's offer of more finance for the multilateral banks is premised on taking a bigger stake in them, and that's anathema to Washington. To break that logjam will require negotiating skills of the kind that established the UN system, over 75 years ago. And they are in short supply, like capital in developing economies.

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