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Published 11th June 2020

Vol 61 No 12


South Africa

Ruling party wants a reset

Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma. Pic: GCIS
Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma. Pic: GCIS

Using the pandemic as a pretext, top ANC officials jostle for positions, some arguing for radical and sweeping policy changes

Before the Covid-19 pandemic struck South Africa, President Cyril Ramaphosa and his centrist supporters were locked in combat with followers of former President Jacob Zuma, African National Congress Secretary-General Ace Magashule and Deputy President David Mabuza. The President's decisive lockdown strategy measures have left his rivals flatfooted. Having lost the opportunity to challenge the leader at the now-postponed party National Policy Conference, they are rethinking tactics, just as the health crisis has thrown up potential future leaders of the ruling party.


From great crash to weak bounce

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020

The pandemic is forcing oil producers to find new ideas to attract investment and absorb the shocks. Some show promise. Others may have left it too late

The great hopes of strong growth for Africa's oil and gas producers this year, particularly in East and Southern Africa, have been crushed as companies scramble to cut planned inve...

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New chief, old battles

Ibrahim Gambari. Pic: UN Photo/Amanda Voisard
Ibrahim Gambari. Pic: UN Photo/Amanda Voisard

President Buhari's top aide Ibrahim Gambari faces an array of rival interests trying to shape the government's direction

In the best traditions of international bureaucracy, Ibrahim Gambari, 75, has been consulting widely but quietly as he acclimatises to his new role as President Muhammadu Buhari's ...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

An extraordinary letter from James E Risch, chairman of the United States Senate Foreign Relations Committee, to World Bank President David Malpass called for the strictest accountability on a $7 million grant to Zimbabwe managed by the UN and the Catholic Church.

Risch wants the bank to stop the money falling into the hands of government, which it accuses of using foreign aid to 'suppress its population and enrich the ruling elite'. Opposition activists say Emmerson Mnangagwa's gover...

An extraordinary letter from James E Risch, chairman of the United States Senate Foreign Relations Committee, to World Bank President David Malpass called for the strictest accountability on a $7 million grant to Zimbabwe managed by the UN and the Catholic Church.

Risch wants the bank to stop the money falling into the hands of government, which it accuses of using foreign aid to 'suppress its population and enrich the ruling elite'. Opposition activists say Emmerson Mnangagwa's government is spending millions on over-priced medical supplies benefiting companies linked to the President's son Collins. The letter, copied to US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, suggests a still tougher line towards the government, which has been asking the Paris Club for emergency relief on its debt obligations. The Paris Club response is likely to be negative as conditions in the country deteriorate.

On 9 June, the UN Human Rights Commission in Geneva called for an immediate end to abductions and torture by the government. This follows claims from three opposition activists, Joanna Mamombe, Cecilia Chimbiri and Netsai Marova, that they were beaten and raped by police last month. Mnangagwa dismissed the claims as a foreign plot designed to foment unrest. And on 10 June, surrounded by generals, he called a press conference to dismiss widespread reports of a plot by ruling party dissidents and mutinous officers, to overthrow him in favour of a new government of national unity.

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The dearth of data

The pandemic is spreading unevenly across Africa and officials warn of a growing number of hotspots threatening public health

When Kenyan President Uhuru Kenyatta addressed the nation on 4 June, he outlined a dilemma facing many governments. The scientists were telling him to maintain the lockdown while t...


Haftar falls back

Now that General Haftar is in retreat, he says he’s backing Egypt’s ceasefire plan. The government in Tripoli may try to finish him off first

Fourteen months after launching his 'lightning' offensive to seize the Libyan capital and oust the UN-recognised Government of National Accord, eastern-based General Khalifa Haftar...


Poll chaos looms

The chances of holding fresh elections in time are dwindling as the President blocks key appointments and confirmation of the poll date

While political parties push ahead with mass campaign rallies – ignoring all social distancing and the ban on gatherings of more than 100 – there is still no confirmed date for pre...


Uhuru takes it out on his party

An angry President Kenyatta vents his frustrations on dissident Jubilee MPs. His deputy stays within the tent for now

For the first time in three years, President Uhuru Kenyatta invited all 404 Jubilee Party legislators – 337 MPs and 67 Senators – to a parliamentary group meeting at St...


Elections or bust

The president failed in a bid to change the constitution. Now he will have to contest the elections due by December, Covid-19 permitting

President Faustin-Archange Touadéra has failed in his effort to change the constitution so that he could stay in office should this year's planned elections fail to take place beca...


Shabaab’s surge

The Islamist militia is making new strides in the north-east. It may even have designs on Ethiopia’s troubled Somali region and Somaliland

While most attention focuses on the preparations for elections later in the year, Al Shabaab is targeting Puntland in a campaign of assassination, and its operations throughout nor...


Affairs of state and of the heart

With the ruling party’s presidential candidate in Paris for cardiac checks, two leading oppositionists are allowed by the ICC to return home

Once again, the International Criminal Court is upending Ivorian politics. This time it's the Court's surprise decision on 29 May to lift its travel restrictions on former Presiden...



Pointers

Damning the parks

Although the government plans to increase the area of Congo-Kinshasa's national parks from about one-tenth to one-fifth of the vast nation, threats against those that already exist...


The sick men of Africa

With three out of five vice-presidents, 10 cabinet members and all but one of the now disbanded High-Level Task Force on Coronavirus having tested positive for Covid-19, there is m...