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Published 6th October 2017

Vol 58 No 20


Nigeria

Homage to Catalonia

Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017
Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017

As their central governments fight secessionists this week, Nigeria and Spain discover they have a few things in common 

Proponents of Biafra as an independent state in south-east Nigeria have seized upon the Spanish government's mishandling of the Catalonian secessionists to score propaganda points against President Muhammadu Buhari's government in Abuja. The clashes on 1 October when the Catalonian government organised a referendum on secession – in the face of opposition by Madrid and the Guardia Civil – highlighted the cause and boosted identity politics internationally, a south-eastern activist told Africa Confidential.

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Magufuli on the warpath

An assassination attempt against an opposition leader raises suspicions about sinister government tactics

When 40 bullets were pumped into the car carrying Chama Cha Demokrasia na Maendeleo (Chadema) member of parliament Tundu Lissu outside his Dodoma home on 7 September, claims of the...


On Ouattara's terms

The President whips his party into shape but the future of the coalition and its next presidential candidate is less clear

The third ordinary congress of the Rassemblement des républicains (RDR), held in Abidjan on 9 and 10 September, nine years after the second, was a mass rally to celebrate the achie...



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THE INSIDE VIEW

Presidential and parliamentary elections in Liberia on 10 October raise again the matter of presidential term limits.

After a crowded career in commercial and development banking as well as director of the United Nations Development Programme in Africa, President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf told us that, for her at least, two terms in the presidency was plenty.

Over two decades into what is know...

Presidential and parliamentary elections in Liberia on 10 October raise again the matter of presidential term limits.

After a crowded career in commercial and development banking as well as director of the United Nations Development Programme in Africa, President Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf told us that, for her at least, two terms in the presidency was plenty.

Over two decades into what is known as Africa's second liberation – the collapse of most one-party regimes and their replacement by some form of pluralist politics – Johnson-Sirleaf's view is far from universally shared on the continent. Last week, parliamentarians in Kampala clashed after an ugly debate in which some political hacks tried to push through a bill abolishing the age limit of 75 for presidential candidates. Its aim was to clear the way for Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni, in power for 31 years, to stand for yet another term in three years' time. This week grenades were thrown at the houses of two of the MPs who opposed the measure.

In Kinshasa, multiple rebellions, several of them urging Congo-Kinshasa President Joseph Kabila to stand down as the constitution specifies, are gathering force. And in the second-longest presidency on the continent, Zimbabwe's President Robert Mugabe, 93, speaks confidently of winning another term next year. His deputy and putative successor, Emmerson Mnangagwa, claims to have been poisoned by a rival.

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A test for people power

The regime's attempt to exempt the President from promised term limits has sparked a concerted opposition campaign

Opponents of President Faure Gnassingbé will stage protests in Montreal, Paris and Luxembourg on 7 October to add an international dimension to their campaign against the go...


Mayhem among the militias

The loyalty of government forces is under strain as new militia challenges spring up, especially in the benighted Kivus

President Joseph Kabila's Forces armées de la République démocratique du Congo (FARDC) are struggling to cope with a series of attacks by Mai Mai militia group...


Game of mansions

The fondness of the Nigerian oil elite for palatial homes in London’s exclusive St. John's Wood emerges from our latest investigation

Igho Sanomi, the Nigerian oil trader who became a billionaire from contracts obtained while Diezani Allison-Madueke was oil minister, bought a £28.5 million (US$39 mn.) British Vir...


No open-and-shut case

The Court ruling on the election gave politicians and the IEBC no road map on how to get out of the resulting mess

When Kenya's Supreme Court voided the election of President Uhuru Kenyatta, by four to two, it became the first-ever African court to unseat a sitting president, and only the third...


New man takes it slow

Lourenço's first appointments leave a country hungry for change doubting that any reform is imminent

Invitations to the VIP area at João Lourenço's inauguration in Luanda on 26 September were hard to come by, even for the ruling-party elite, such was the anticipation around the ev...


Mutharika's uncertain future

Elections may be two years away, but corruption scandals are already making the ruling party's prospects look grim

Cashgate is the scandal which keeps on giving. Ever since the epic looting of the Treasury by government ministers and political parties broke surface in 2013, few politicians have...



Pointers

Asphalt jungle

Liberia still won't try its own suspected war criminals, so others have to. The latest to come to trial is Mohammed Jabbateh, a commander in the so-called United Liberation Movemen...


Game of names

African leaders meet their European Union counterparts in Abidjan in late November with migration and increased European investment certain to dominate the agenda. However, an unli...


Justice and jurisdictions

Rwanda has been piling the pressure on Western countries hosting people suspected of involvement in the 1994 genocide to extradite them for trial at home. There are 815 arrest warr...