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Published 4th November 2016

Vol 57 No 22


More talk talk than walk walk

29 September 2015. Fatou Bensouda waits for Jean-Pierre Bemba, former Vice-President of Congo, to enter the court room of the International Criminal Court. Picture by Peter Dejong AP/Press Association Images
29 September 2015. Fatou Bensouda waits for Jean-Pierre Bemba, former Vice-President of Congo, to enter the court room of the International Criminal Court. Picture by Peter Dejong AP/Press Association Images

The ICC is unlikely to see a domino effect from the withdrawal of three African countries but determined critics raise other concerns

Like comedian Groucho Marx who once declared that he wouldn't want to join any club that would have him as a member, Burundi's Pierre Nkurunziza, South Africa's Jacob Zuma and Gambia's Yahya Jammeh all want to pull their countries out of the International Criminal Court (ICC). The human rights records of Zuma (as head of the intelligence unit in the African National Congress in exile in the late 1980s), Nkurunziza and Jammeh have been intensively scrutinised. There is also a grab bag of motives behind the announcements of withdrawal. Political self-preservation looks to be the strongest incentive.

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Getting ready for trouble

Politicians who benefited from land seizures are paying compensation and getting title deeds – in case the political tide turns

The government is making several payments to dispossessed farmers to regularise the legal status of land held by President Robert Mugabe's family and leading members of the ruling ...


A week of defeats for Zuma

Although the courts have ruled against him, the President's loyalists say he still controls the streets

The courts, civil society and the largest trades union took the lead this week as pressure on the governing African National Congress mounts to drop President Jacob Zuma as leader ...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

It was hardly a meeting of minds but President Muhammadu Buhari's discussions with Niger Delta state governors and community leaders in Abuja on 1 November marks a clear change of strategy. It was Buhari's first meeting with regional leaders since militants of the Niger Delta Avengers started attacking pipelines and production platforms in January, eventually cutting oil production by a million barrels a day. Oil ministry officials claim product...

It was hardly a meeting of minds but President Muhammadu Buhari's discussions with Niger Delta state governors and community leaders in Abuja on 1 November marks a clear change of strategy. It was Buhari's first meeting with regional leaders since militants of the Niger Delta Avengers started attacking pipelines and production platforms in January, eventually cutting oil production by a million barrels a day. Oil ministry officials claim production is back up to around 2 mn. barrels.

The government is set to launch a new strategy of negotiations with grassroots organisations and a US$10 billion investment programme for education, health services, training and jobs. Deputy Oil Minister Emmanuel Kachikwu says much of the funding would come from outside the state treasury, mainly from local and international oil companies. But he concedes it will be difficult to raise substantial funds without getting the National Assembly to approve long delayed reforms to the oil industry.

Delta activists have told Buhari's officials there is little chance of stopping the militant attacks if military operations continue to be run by corrupt officers who benefit from various oil theft and piracy schemes. The first stage of the government's Delta strategy will be dominated by the US$200 mn. clean-up of Ogoniland, due to start in early 2017 with an initial group of projects costing $10 mn. It will be a critical test of the government's new policy in the Delta.

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Amina jumps to the front

Kenya's foreign minister has taken the lead in the race to become the next leader of the African Union Commission

As regional factions tussle for influence, finding a candidate to replace South Africa's Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma as Chairperson of the African Union Commission is proving a tortuous...


Colliding worlds

European officials are starting to see the links between their own political ructions and economic and security crises in the Sahel

A string of Islamist attacks in Mali and Niger are another reminder of the limitations of the efforts at political and security reform of the past five years. The latest thinking i...


The securocrats get stronger

Under pressure, President Omer is cutting the power of the party and the army and relying more on his security agents and enforcers

The regime's power-base is shrinking after the formal end of its National Dialogue initiative on 10 October. President Omer Hassan Ahmed el Beshir had hoped that the planned return...


How to win friends

Reports of fresh clashes in Western Sahara suggest an urgency in Rabat's bid to rejoin the African Union

On a swing through Rwanda and Tanzania late last month, King Mohammed VI used the trip to promote his main causes: getting back into the African Union and outflanking the Western S...


Taking a pounding

The government's attempt to use the IMF to raise funds for a bail-out is unravelling

As the International Monetary Fund delays approval of a jumbo loan and Cairo quarrels with Saudi Arabia, a key source of cheap cash, the government's economic strategy is in tatter...



Pointers

Rio quits Simandou

Rio Tinto has finally called time on Simandou, one of the world's largest untapped iron ore deposits, by signing a non-binding agreement with its partner, the Aluminium Corporation...


More growth, more debt

Although Kenya's economy will buck the regional trend of low growth, says the World Bank, there are serious problems with its rising debt burden and budget deficit. The Bank projec...