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Published 23rd September 2016

Vol 57 No 19


Nigeria

No oil, no money, no deal

Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2016
Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2016

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Both sides are edging towards some sort of deal that will get the money flowing again – to the Treasury and to the Delta

There is an inexorable logic to the tortuous negotiations between the government and the Niger Delta Avengers, the most determined of the militant groups launching attacks in the oil-producing mangrove swamps and creeks. Without oil production, neither side has anything to talk about. That doesn't make the talks inevitable, however. There is a new wave of anger in the Delta, following the death of Chief Thomas Osen Ekpemupolo, the Tunteriwei of Gbaramatu Kingdom and father of the militant leader, High Chief Government Ekpemupolo aka Tompolo. At Chief Thomas's funeral in Warri last week, his family blamed soldiers for his death: the octogenarian Chief had been fleeing an attack on his house when he tripped and fell.

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Push-ups and pushback

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BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

This week President Joseph Kabila's bid to hang on to power in Congo-Kinshasa has finally triggered the violent clashes that opposition parties had long predicted. At least 44 people are reported by Human Rights Watch to have been killed after police tried to stop a demonstration on 19 September calling for Kabila to leave office after his second constitutional term ends on 19 December. A week earlier, tal...

This week President Joseph Kabila's bid to hang on to power in Congo-Kinshasa has finally triggered the violent clashes that opposition parties had long predicted. At least 44 people are reported by Human Rights Watch to have been killed after police tried to stop a demonstration on 19 September calling for Kabila to leave office after his second constitutional term ends on 19 December. A week earlier, talks broke down between government officials and opposition groups about a schedule for electoral registration and elections. The government wants to delay the presidential poll – and Kabila's exit – until next July at least.

World leaders were gathering for the UN General Assembly in New York as news of the deaths in Kinshasa came through, prompting Ban Ki-moon to urge Congolese security officers to exercise restraint. Opposition groups say hundreds of their supporters have been seized.

Although the African Union has maintained radio silence about this latest effort by the President to extend his rule, France condemned the government's use of force against protestors and called on Kabila to leave power as scheduled. The United States threatened to impose sanctions.

While leaders in neighbouring Congo-Brazzaville, Burundi, and Rwanda have extended their tenure, foreign governments have stayed out of the debate. But in Congo-Kinshasa, one of Africa's biggest, most complex and mineral-rich economies, France and the USA want to wade in.

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New meetings, old answers

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