Vol 65 No 18 | KENYA The Ruto-Raila trade-off redraws the electoral map 23rd August 2024 Both the president and opposition leader benefit from the national unity government, but there are plenty of losers The odd man out in the latest round of political musical chairs is Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua as Kenya’s political parties realign to prepare for the 2027 elections. ...
Vol 65 No 17 | TANZANIA Back to bulldozer politics 22nd August 2024 Without spelling out her plan to seek election next year, President Samia is cracking down on opponents and rivals in the ruling party The arrests of hundreds of opposition leaders and activists planning to attend rallies marking International Youth Day, suggests that the spirit of former President John Magufuli l...
Vol 65 No 17 | SOMALIA Al Shabaab adaptability causes alarm 22nd August 2024 On 2 August at 9.50pm at Lido Beach, Al Shabaab launched its deadliest attack in Mogadishu since two car-bombs claimed 121 lives and hundreds of casualties in the capital. At the b...
Vol 65 No 17 | SUDAN Burhan risks isolation by boycotting Geneva peace talks 17th August 2024 Hemeti and his sponsors in the United Arab Emirates are exploiting the Sudan Armed Forces’ clumsy diplomacy The Sudan peace talks which started in Geneva on 14 August mark a new phase in the posturing and positioning that has derailed so much of the diplomacy and mediation efforts so far...
Vol 65 No 17 | KENYA Kenyatta’s favourite minister plans presidential bid 14th August 2024 Challenging President Ruto after the protests, Fred Matiang’i has hired US lobbyists to help fend off legal cases Former Interior minister Fred Matiang'i says he is preparing to run for Kenya’s presidency in 2027 after falling out with President William Ruto and having his Nairobi home s...
Vol 65 No 16 | KENYA Raila names his price 1st August 2024 In a move to quell growing dissatisfaction with his government, President Ruto has nominated allies of the main opposition leader to his cabinet Four ministries, including the Treasury, was the price Raila Odinga set for propping up William Ruto’s ailing presidency and to establish what is effectively Kenya’s fi...
Vol 65 No 16 | ETHIOPIA Central bank floats birr to secure IMF deal 1st August 2024 Foreign exchange reform will remove market distortions, but is the economy entering a danger zone of further devaluation and greater inflation? The quid pro quo that Addis Ababa will gain from the international financial institutions and from sundry investors and creditors must have reassured Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed that...
Vol 65 No 16 | ETHIOPIASOMALIA Shots and plots 1st August 2024 On 15 July, local militias on the outskirts of Abudwaq, in Galmudug, stopped a convoy of two trucks loaded with infantry weapons coming from Ethiopia and led by two cars belonging ...
Vol 65 No 16 | RWANDA EU envoy to great lakes 1st August 2024 A three-month impasse over the EU’s choice of Special Representative for the Great Lakes Region has been resolved with the appointment of Swedish diplomat Johan Borgstam. The...
Vol 65 No 16 | ETHIOPIASOMALIA Djibouti joins fight against the Abiy-Bihi pact 19th July 2024 Fearing big losses if Addis Ababa’s port access deal with Somaliland goes ahead, President Guelleh wants to scupper it Battle drums are sounding, but the casus belli is still being determined. Nobody yet knows whether the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abi...