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Outgoing Commonwealth chief is pushing for Zimbabwe’s readmission

Emmerson Mnangagwa. Pic: @edmnangagwa/State House of Zimbabwe
Emmerson Mnangagwa. Pic: @edmnangagwa/State House of Zimbabwe

Top Commonwealth officials and senior British diplomats favour bringing Harare back into the fold – despite a damning report on last year’s elections

The Commonwealth Secretariat is working to support Zimbabwe’s application to be readmitted to the mainly Anglophone, ex-British colonial group of nations, Africa Confidential has learned. The outgoing Secretary-General, Baroness Patricia Scotland, has written to member states seeking their views but making it clear she supports Harare’s candidacy. Many African members are also in favour.

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No policy shifts as Tinubu reshuffles

Bola Tinubu. Pic: @NGRPresident/State House/Ella Eduozor
Bola Tinubu. Pic: @NGRPresident/State House/Ella Eduozor

Economic hardship and political frustration are worsening but the president endorses most of his cabinet

Five months after receiving a performance report on his 45 ministers, President Bola Tinubu finally reshuffled his cabinet, sacking five ministers and making seven new ones, raising the...


Fears mount as election row escalates

Venâncio Mondlane. Pic: venancio.mondlanevm7
Venâncio Mondlane. Pic: venancio.mondlanevm7

Presidential contender Mondlane’s supporters are preparing to confront Frelimo on the streets

The call by Lúcia da Luz Ribeiro, President of the Constitutional Council, for the Comissão Nacional de Eleições (CNE) to produce the results sheets (editais) from every polling...


From Abu Dhabi with Dirham

Pic: presidence.td
Pic: presidence.td

UAE leader Mohamed bin Zayed will want political and other favours in return for his hefty investment in Mahamat Kaka

After meeting France’s President Emmanuel Macron at the Organisation internationale de la Francophonie (OIF) in Villers-Cotterêts on 4-5 October, Chad’s President Mahamat Déby Itno ‘Kaka’ rushed to Abu...


Mixed progress on Putin’s agenda

Pic: @BRICSNWS
Pic: @BRICSNWS

While the BRICS summit made limited headway, the US and EU should not underestimate the strength of antipathy to the multilateral institutions

Hosting last week’s BRICS summit in Kazan was a welcome break from two years of international isolation for President Vladimir Putin and a golden opportunity to increase Russia’s...


The Bank sounds alarms on lost decade

Africa: Growth disappoints, per-capita incomes still lag. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2024
Africa: Growth disappoints, per-capita incomes still lag. Copyright © Africa Confidential 2024

Along with climate change and geopolitical tensions, deepening instability is holding back growth in many African economies

Officials tried valiantly to inject some optimism at the annual meeting of the IMF and World Bank from 21-26 October in Washington DC amid growing concerns over global...


Accra jumps through more debt hoops

Mahamudu Bawumia. Pic: @MBawumia
Mahamudu Bawumia. Pic: @MBawumia

Bondholders have accepted a Eurobond workout, but big financing difficulties remain

With just over a month until the elections, Ghana’s government is struggling with domestic protests, strikes, and the challenge of convincing a sceptical inflation-hit electorate that the economy...


In power for six decades, the ruling BDP promises change

Botswana Decides 2024. Pic: @OfficialMasisi
Botswana Decides 2024. Pic: @OfficialMasisi

Running for a second term, President Masisi is helped by opposition splits but his economic plans lack credibility

Against a backdrop of rising youth unemployment and tumbling diamond revenues, Botswana’s elections on 30 October are set to be among its most closely fought since independence in...


Kigali tightens its security grip as Nyusi bows out

Pic: @UrugwiroVillage
Pic: @UrugwiroVillage

The furore over Mozambique’s national elections this month may complicate Rwanda’s military role in the northern Cabo Delgado province

Rwanda’s military, invited by President Filipe Nyusi to push back insurgents and guard the gas export plant in Cabo Delgado, is expanding its security operations and business interests...


Activists organise national protests as Frelimo claims victory

Venâncio Mondlane, 22 October 2024. Pic: venamondlane FB still
Venâncio Mondlane, 22 October 2024. Pic: venamondlane FB still

Positions are hardening after two opposition lawyers are assassinated and the ruling party dismisses complaints about the elections

Opposition presidential candidate Venâncio Mondlane is calling for a two-day national strike to bring the economy to a standstill as protests escalate in the wake of the disputed...


Why Mnangagwa’s gold-backed currency keeps falling

John Mushayavanhu. Pic: Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe FB
John Mushayavanhu. Pic: Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe FB

Corruption, over-spending and government borrowing from the central bank  are undermining the sixth attempt at a local currency

Mass scepticism greeted Reserve Bank Governor John Mushayavanhu’s assertion on 11 October that last month’s 43% devaluation of the Zimbabwe Gold (ZiG) currency was a 'once-off' event and...


Divided they stand

Jean-Louis Billon. Pic: @JLB_officiel
Jean-Louis Billon. Pic: @JLB_officiel

The Parti démocratique de Côte d’Ivoire (PDCI), which ruled the country unopposed between independence in 1960 and the country’s first coup in 1999, wants back in. But the...


 A rare ruling party congress

Pic: MOI Eritrea
Pic: MOI Eritrea

There are indications Eritrea’s secretive president Issayas Afewerki is planning a rare congress of the country’s only legal party – the People’s Front for Democracy and Justice (PFDJ).


Fight for Darfur and Khartoum intensifies

SUDAN: Rival armies step up fight for Khartoum and El Fasher
SUDAN: Rival armies step up fight for Khartoum and El Fasher

Buoyed by foreign backers and ignoring civilian casualties, both Burhan and Hemeti claim a breakthrough is in sight

For the next few months of the dry season, the rival factions look set to concentrate their forces in the devastating battles for control of two cities and...

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Mahamat Kaka’s Darfur policy starts blowing back

Pic: @GmahamatIdi
Pic: @GmahamatIdi

The Zaghawa are turning against the President’s arms shipment deals with the UAE and backing for Hemeti’s RSF militia

Two raging urban battles – in Khartoum and El Fasher in North Darfur – could determine the next stage in Sudan’s devastating war: the de facto partition of...


Junta’s stance threatens uranium exports

General Abdourahamane Tiani. Pic: @NIGER_CNSP
General Abdourahamane Tiani. Pic: @NIGER_CNSP

In its haste to expel western mining companies, the junta risks being left with no one to exploit its most valuable export


Evidence of vote stealing mounts

Daniel Chapo. Pic: @FRELIMO_
Daniel Chapo. Pic: @FRELIMO_

Independent monitors and all the opposition parties question the credibility of the presidential and parliamentary elections