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Published 23rd October 2009

Vol 50 No 21


Zimbabwe

Tsvangirai's walkout puts Mugabe on the backfoot

Image courtesy of Panos Pictures
Image courtesy of Panos Pictures

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The MDC sees some success in its efforts to push a divided ZANU-PF into talks by appealing to regional leaders to pressure President Mugabe

For once, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai and the Movement for Democratic Change appear to have scored a palpable hit against President Robert Mugabe and his allies. Following a meeting with Tsvangirai on 21 October in Cape Town, South African President Jacob Zuma declared that 'the country should not be allowed to slide back into instability, and that he was ready to assist the parties in implementing the Global Political Agreement (AC Vol 50 No 17). Tsvangirai's temporary walkout of the power-sharing government came on 16 October, as the faction-fighting around Mugabe and the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front seemed to be reaching a crescendo (AC Vol 50 No 20). Mugabe's dismissal of the walkout as of 'little consequence' rings hollow. His own ZANU-PF is in crisis in the lead up to its December congress, with open warfare between the Joice Mujuru and Emmerson Mnangagwa factions battling to succeed Mugabe. ZANU-PF's organisation in the three Matebeleland provinces is in a shambles, partly because of the administrative bumblings of Mugabe's ultra-loyalist, Didymus Mutasa. At the last count, five ZANU-PF grandees were battling to take over the national Vice-Presidency after the death of Joseph Msika. After suspending cooperation with Mugabe and his ministers, Tsvangirai embarked on a tour of neighbouring states to call for pressure on Mugabe and ZANU-PF. The pretext for walking out was the indictment of the MDC's Treasurer, Deputy Agriculture Minister Roy Bennett, on terrorism charges (after a string of vexatious cases against other MDC members of parliament). The latest episode in the long-running Bennett show saw him back in the cells, albeit for only one night, but it was enough for Tsvangirai and the MDC to ramp up international concern about the wider progress of the government. Tsvangirai points to a lengthy list of ZANU-PF's blocking and delaying tactics. None of the issues highlighted by the Southern African Development Community (SADC) summit on Zimbabwe in January have been resolved: the row over ministerial duties and powers; the illegal appointments of Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe Governor Gideon Gono and Attorney General Johannes Tomana; and Mugabe's failure to ratify the appointment of provincial governors; along with a lack of progress on constitutional reform, liberalisation of the media and a national audit of land holdings. Indeed, the two sides cannot even agree on the government's title: the MDC rejects ZANU-PF's appellation ­ Government of National Unity (GNU) ­ as grossly misleading. There are elements in ZANU-PF whose aim is to bring about the collapse of the power-sharing government by continually harassing and humiliating MDC MPs. The fear of such hardliners is that the MDC will get the political credit for the government's limited economic successes and further undermine ZANU-PF. This time, the incarceration of Bennett appears to have backfired. By violating the spirit of the accord, the ZANU-PF hardliners want to bait the MDC into pulling out of the government. Tsvangirai, in the best trades unionist tradition, operates on the sound principle of 'never resign from anything; the longer you stay the stronger you become'. ZANU-PF drags its feet on all the political and economic reform proposals but pushes through appointments which suit it. The most blatant is appointing Professor Tafataona 'Dotty' Mahoso as Chairman of the Broadcasting Authority, despite his dismal performance before the parliamentary panel choosing nominees for the Media Commission. Media Minister Webster Shamu announced the appointment of army officers and other ZANU-PF loyalists to several media bodies within his gift without consulting the MDC. When it was pointed out that, for a publicly quoted company, appointments to the Zimpapers board were the prerogative of shareholders, Shamu said someone had mixed up the files on his desk. Under his nom de guerre of 'Ndhlovu', he served in the 1980s both as a junior minister and time in prison for corruption. A streetwise activist from Mashonaland West, as ZANU-PF spin doctor, he is proving something of a disaster. With the return of Jonathan Moyo to the fold, his time may be up. Among Shamu's blunders was allowing Mutasa to be interviewed by the United States television station CNN, where he blurted out, 'Supporting white farmers is insupportable. If that is what human rights means, you can keep them. We don't want them in Zimbabwe.' Earlier this year, Mutasa had explained that his interpretation of the unity government was that 'everyone should do what President Mugabe says'. There is an obsession with destroying Bennett. This gives the issue the sharp profile that the other outstanding breaches lack, which is why it works against ZANU-PF. The issue is not whether Bennett is guilty but whether his bail would be reinstated by a higher court. The judiciary is asserting some independence. The case of Justina Mukoko, head of the Zimbabwe Peace Project, who was wrongly detained for three months and then freed on judicial order, is an indication of this. Again, the judicial order to free Bennett on bail ran counter to ZANU-PF pressure and wishes. In both cases, the Judge was Charles Hungwe, who has impeccable political credentials as a fighter in the liberation war and cannot be dismissed as an MDC or British placeman. The political damage was immense ­ the bail refusal was broadcast around the world by the international news networks. Mugabe and ZANU-PF were portrayed as mean-spirited, with no intention of operating the GNU in a spirit of goodwill. SADC leaders were embarrassed by another example of ZANU-PF's bad faith. Tsvangirai was given a perfectly plausible excuse for withholding MDC cooperation with ZANU-PF at ministerial level, without resigning from the government, until Bennett's status and other outstanding issues were addressed. ADC Secretary General Tomaz Salamão was on an unpublicised visit to Harare to set up a meeting between Tsvangirai and Mozambican President Armando Guebuza on 15 October. Tsvangirai then expanded that to a ten-day tour taking in Angola, Congo-Kinshasa, Mozambique and possibly Botswana and South Africa. He told Mugabe about it on his way to the airport. For now, ZANU-PF looks snookered by Tsvangirai's move. If it expels the MDC from the power-sharing government, it will have to take responsibility for the breakdown. Botswana's President Seretse Khama Ian Khama insists that a purely ZANU-PF government would have no support within the region, let alone internationally. On this point, few of his peers are likely to demur. Even Mugabe's older comrades, such as Angolan President José Eduardo dos Santos, are tiring of the continuing crises in Zimbabwe and their negative effects on the region. For ZANU-PF to re-establish a modicum of political goodwill, it will have to make some credible concessions. MDC insiders hope that the outcome will be the long delayed appointment of some MDC provincial governors and some movement on the Reserve Bank issue. What emerges from the crisis is that, apart from faction leaders Mujuru and Mnangagwa, who themselves can hardly wait for him to go, Mugabe is surrounded by a team of political incompetents. When Justice Minister Patrick Chinamasa<


Washington unveils its new policy as tension rises throughout Sudan

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Amid a spreading feeling at home and abroad that Sudan may be at a crossroads, the United States announced its long-postponed policy. This departs from the usual cautious diplomacy of interested governments by leaving the National Congress Party in no doubt that it will be held responsible for most of the country's political woes. The only sanction that the NCP really fears is military action: this is included in a confidential annex. As elections and referenda draw near, the Khartoum regime pursues its own military action west and south ­ and perhaps soon again in the east.

When Secretary of State Hillary Clinton unveiled the new United States' policy on Sudan on 19 October, press reports focussed on 'engagement', a concept beloved of President Barack...


Corruption claims and rows tarnish Accra's record

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Oil deals, political intrigues and grand corruption conspire to undermine the country's image of economic and political rectitude

For several years, Ghana has been praised internationally as a model of political pluralism and rational economic reform, even if some of its more introspective nationals dispute this...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

No one emerges with much credit from the announcement that the judges of the Mo Ibrahim leadership prize could not agree on a suitable candidate among the latest crop of retired African presidents – no one apart from the Sudanese telecoms billionaire himself, who has at least got the world talking about how Africa is run. It also says much about the politicised nature of business in Africa, with almost all the possible candidates embroiled in heated, unresolved controversies over multinational ...
No one emerges with much credit from the announcement that the judges of the Mo Ibrahim leadership prize could not agree on a suitable candidate among the latest crop of retired African presidents – no one apart from the Sudanese telecoms billionaire himself, who has at least got the world talking about how Africa is run. It also says much about the politicised nature of business in Africa, with almost all the possible candidates embroiled in heated, unresolved controversies over multinational companies making corrupt payments and inflating contract prices in Africa. The frontrunner was Ghana’s John Kufuor, who had already won the Chatham House Award for Statesmanship at a lavish ceremony in London in 2008, in which British Development Minister Baroness Shriti Vadera gushed with awe at his achievements. Ghana’s political openness in the past decade won him foreign admirers but some Ghanaians demur. With his opponents now in power, Kufuor faces claims of impropriety over two big oil and telecoms contracts (see page 3) and accusations that he did nothing to stop the sharp rise in drug trafficking there. Other contenders included South Africa’s Thabo Mbeki (rejected for HIV/AIDS denialism and pending criminal investigations in the BAE Systems arms deal); Nigeria’s Olusegun Obasanjo (ongoing investigations into Halliburton’s US$10 billion gas export contract); and Sierra Leone’s Tejan Kabbah (claims of massive mismanagment of British aid funds).
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Khama's expected triumph

The governing party did less well than it had hoped but trounced the opposition and confirmed the President's hold on office

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Jolly Roger justice

As attacks by Somali pirates increase in the Gulf of Aden, the trials of those captured during the last ten months begin in Mombasa

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Brazzaville counts on France and the IMF

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Pointers

Zuma's faith

After the African National Congress leadership in the Western Cape was suspended because of the governing party's poor showing there in this year's elections, President Jacob Zuma set...


Turkana hunger

As neighbouring Ethiopia takes the unusual step of asking for food aid, for 6.2 million people, Kenya's Turkana Province members of Parliament are coming under pressure to force...


Costly payment delays

On 29 September, the International Monetary Fund loaned Angola US$890 million instead of the $2 billion Luanda had asked for. The government says that the country has reached...


Seeking power

The sudden death in South Africa on 20 September of Ishmael Chafukira has prompted the usual suspicions. The Malawi Congress Party member of parliament for Lilongwe North-West was...