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Published 8th June 2023

Vol 64 No 12


Nigeria

Tinubu tries shock therapy on sluggish economy

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023

Ending subsidies, selling oil assets and devaluing the naira are on the agenda as the new government goes for growth

Proclaiming the end of fuel subsidies at his inauguration on 29 May and his intention to merge the multiple exchange rates for the beleaguered naira, President Bola Tinubu signalled that he would take on two of the most politically charged economic policies.

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When – not if – Emefiele leaves the bank

Pic: @GodwinIEmefiele
Pic: @GodwinIEmefiele

The central bank governor's days appear to be numbered as President Tinubu changes economic tack – and lines up a handy scapegoat

Making clear his position on Central Bank of Nigeria Governor Godwin Emefiele's future, President Bola Tinubu announced the bank needed 'house-cleaning' in his inaugural speech on 29 May....



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

When Ajay Banga went on his campaign tour, government and financial leaders were keen to meet the former Mastercard chief executive and tout his credentials as the reformist needed to shake up a sclerotic World Bank. Now installed as President, Banga will be under pressure to drive the reform of the international financial institutions, taking in at least some ideas from Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Barbados, whose recommendations were endorsed at last November's UN COP27 summit.

Al...

When Ajay Banga went on his campaign tour, government and financial leaders were keen to meet the former Mastercard chief executive and tout his credentials as the reformist needed to shake up a sclerotic World Bank. Now installed as President, Banga will be under pressure to drive the reform of the international financial institutions, taking in at least some ideas from Mia Mottley, Prime Minister of Barbados, whose recommendations were endorsed at last November's UN COP27 summit.

Along with balancing demands for a rapid increase in green spending and programmes to tackle inequality, the push for a new global debt relief programme needs a new leader. French President Emmanuel Macron will host the Summit for a New Global Financing Pact, but diplomats complain that preparations have been chaotic with no clear sense of what Macron hopes to achieve.

Banga starts with plenty of in-house problems. Officials say that the World Bank's governance structure is neither executive nor strategic and has allowed national government representatives to prioritise domestic interests over global needs. Such shortcomings go some way to explaining why the Bank has failed to deliver more on climate finance and poverty reduction. It is also a long way from the business world in which Banga carved out his career. He will have to be much bolder and more political if he is to meet those lofty demands.

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Arms in the night

Accusations of secret arms shipments to Moscow raise questions about Pretoria's non-alignment and its competence on security

Long-simmering tensions exploded when United States ambassador Reuben Brigety broke with diplomatic discretion last month and accused South Africa of secretly uploading weapons and ammunition for Russia's war...


Mutharika manoeuvres for a comeback

So dire is the record of the incumbent that the opposition believes Peter Mutharika could be elected president again in 2025

The political situation is in such turmoil that the next contest to lead Malawi is already dominating talk in the capital. Ex-President Peter Mutharika is planning a comeback,...


Forgotten but not gone

The civil war in Sudan is distracting attention from the desperate plight of its southern neighbour with its own stalled peace process

'Many of us who are accustomed to the prevarication of the parties in the South Sudanese peace process think they are using the outbreak of civil war in...


Grain-fed diplomacy

Kyiv is stepping up its outreach to Africa, putting grain and national sovereignty at the heart of its argument

Officials in Kyiv concede that, prior to Russia's invasion, their diplomatic outreach in Africa and the Global South had been very limited. Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky and his...


Football before politics

Local elections have been brought forward to avoid clashing with the Africa Cup of Nations but offering just as many fireworks as old rivals vie for key posts

The stakes are high. The coming local elections must be flawless, unlike the violence-tainted 2020 presidentials, not only for the sake of the country's reputation but to reassure...


Shell holds up clean-up payments in graft row

Sacked director of Ogoniland project spells out corruption concerns in rebuke to environment ministry

Shell is withholding payments towards the Ogoniland clean-up until it sees a full accounting for the disputed contracts issued to date, Africa Confidential has learned from sources in...

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Pointers

Street hits back for Sonko

Senegalese are in shock after lethal clashes between police and crowds protesting the 1 June conviction of opposition leader Ousmane Sonko for 'corrupting the morals' of 20-year-old masseuse...


No compromise on royal power

The imprisonment of two MPs on terrorism charges is a signal that royal power will not be compromised or reformed, and elections due this year won't change anything,...