Jump to navigation

Published 25th August 2022

Vol 63 No 17


Angola

A tale of two elections

MPLA supporters, Luanda, 20 August 2022. Pic: Catarina Demony/Reuters/Alamy
MPLA supporters, Luanda, 20 August 2022. Pic: Catarina Demony/Reuters/Alamy

Alongside the conventional official campaign, the MPLA is working behind the scenes, insiders say, to manipulate the result in its favour

The opposition to the Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola (MPLA) government is enjoying its strongest popular support ever, posing an unprecedented challenge in the 24 August general election. Opinion pollster Afrobarometer gave the MPLA only a 7% lead over the opposition União Nacional para a Independência Total de Angola (UNITA) in May, and many suspect the gap has narrowed since, with video of immense crowds at opposition rallies circulating on social media.

READ FOR FREE

Ruto takes his revenge

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2022

After challenging President Uhuru Kenyatta on his home turf, the Deputy President has pulled off a remarkable political upset

Only the Supreme Court stands in the way of Deputy President William Ruto's final trouncing of his establishment foes in State House, the big media organisations and many...


Washington weighs in on Weah

George Weah. Pic: Daniel Russelman / Universal Images Group North America LLC / Alamy
George Weah. Pic: Daniel Russelman / Universal Images Group North America LLC / Alamy

The latest US sanctions against Liberian officials target the President's closest allies after ever louder complaints of grand corruption since he came to power in 2018

The spotlight on corruption at the highest levels of government in Monrovia suddenly shone brightly on 15 August when the United States Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

Protests against escalating food and fuel costs in Sierra Leone last week which left more than 16 protestors and four police officers dead have rocked the government of President Julius Maada Bio, but they follow a pattern of growing anger on the streets across the continent. Maada Bio, who is running for re-election next year, accused the opposition of trying to overthrow the government. His banning of protests and curfew did little to quieten the mood; nor have higher interest rates slowed ...

Protests against escalating food and fuel costs in Sierra Leone last week which left more than 16 protestors and four police officers dead have rocked the government of President Julius Maada Bio, but they follow a pattern of growing anger on the streets across the continent. Maada Bio, who is running for re-election next year, accused the opposition of trying to overthrow the government. His banning of protests and curfew did little to quieten the mood; nor have higher interest rates slowed inflation, which hit 28% in July.

Financial pressures on national treasuries as debt service payments rise and national currencies weaken leave governments with little space for manoeuvre. Strikes and other protests are mounting in Africa's two biggest economies: Nigeria's President Muhammadu Buhari is preparing to leave power next year after national elections; South Africa's Cyril Ramaphosa aims for another five-year term but has to win party elections in December. Both leaders are struggling to finance hefty consumer subsidies as they try to contain popular anger.

Over the past year activists have hit the streets Tunisia, Ghana, Senegal, Côte d'Ivoire and Sudan. Few governments have responded effectively and their grip on power is threatened: whether the military junta in Khartoum or the authoritarian regime in Tunis, or the multi-party democracies in Abidjan, Accra and Dakar.

Read more

Politicians and activists take the election to court

The Supreme Court is to give its verdict on the close-run election and the electoral commission in a highly charged atmosphere

When presidential contender Raila Odinga's legal team, civil society organisations and sundry individuals met the deadline of 2 p.m. on 22 August to file their petitions disputing the...


Gulf states vie for position in region

Competing hard for influence, Gulf States are trying to impose their agendas on governments in the Horn

Amidst the weak international response to the serial crises of drought, famines, terrorism and war in the Horn of Africa, the manoeuvres of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf...


MPLA on uncertain ground

The electorate has changed radically, and the ruling party is being punished for not fulfilling its promises, but a change of government is unlikely

Three decades since Angola's first multiparty elections, the country has undergone significant demographic changes. The electorate is now made up of many young people who never experienced the...


How the hustlers toppled the dynasties

Deputy President William Ruto's coalition has redrawn the political map but the dispute over the presidential vote rumbles on

While the row over the presidential election is set to end up in the Supreme Court, gains by Deputy President William Ruto's coalition in parliamentary, county assembly and...


Economic woes challenge election winner

Despite the boost from higher oil prices, the ruling party has presided over a hefty fall in living standards and broken promises on job creation

President João Lourenço and the ruling Movimento Popular de Libertação de Angola (MPLA) approached the 24 August general election still favoured to win. If it does win it...



Pointers

Downing a ceasefire

The shooting down of a plane apparently bound for Tigray by Ethiopia's air force on 24 August could confirm a return to civil war after five months of...


Beijing turns around on debt

China's decision to waive repayment of 23 interest-free loans owed by 17 African countries and redirect $10 billion of its International Monetary Fund (IMF) reserves to the continent...