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Published 5th August 2021

Vol 62 No 16


Ethiopia

Addis tries to rewrite the script

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2021

After political victories and battlefield defeats, Prime Minister Abiy wants to boost military budgets and centralise more power

In the face of diplomatic efforts by African and Western officials to broker a ceasefire and humanitarian access, the fight over the future of Tigray and the national political structure has spread to the adjacent Amhara and Afar regions.


Rivals close as polling day nears

President Edgar Lungu and ZESCO MD Victor Mundende at the River Diversion Ceremony at Kafue Gorge, October 2017. Pic: Salim Henry / State House
President Edgar Lungu and ZESCO MD Victor Mundende at the River Diversion Ceremony at Kafue Gorge, October 2017. Pic: Salim Henry / State House

Ahead of the 12 August vote the ruling party offers handouts and grand projects while the opposition points to the crashing economy

Against a backdrop of falling support for President Edgar Lungu and a sliding economy, the Patriotic Front government is showering farmers and civil servants with handouts and good...


After the insurrection

A tank patrols after several days of looting following the imprisonment of Jacob Zuma. Pic: Rogan Ward / Reuters / Alamy
A tank patrols after several days of looting following the imprisonment of Jacob Zuma. Pic: Rogan Ward / Reuters / Alamy

The security services are in the dock for failing to prevent or warn of the conspiracy behind the acts that touched off the recent murderous unrest

The government is taking a hard look at its own intelligence and security leaders in the aftermath of the orchestrated campaign of sabotage and protests which morphed into...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

After the directors of the International Monetary Fund voted on 2 August for a record-breaking injection of resources – the creation of US$650 billion reserve assets known as Special Drawing Rights – the central banks of all member states will be credited on 23 August with allocations in proportion to their shareholdings. 

African countries account for 6.4% of the SDR quota, which will net the continent's treasuries less than a fifth of the $250bn that the IMF believe...

After the directors of the International Monetary Fund voted on 2 August for a record-breaking injection of resources – the creation of US$650 billion reserve assets known as Special Drawing Rights – the central banks of all member states will be credited on 23 August with allocations in proportion to their shareholdings. 

African countries account for 6.4% of the SDR quota, which will net the continent's treasuries less than a fifth of the $250bn that the IMF believes they need to finance their recoveries over the next three years. The IMF is launching a Resilience and Stability Trust this year to help low to middle-income economies boost growth.

In June, the Group of Seven (G7) countries backed in principle a scheme to allocate $100bn of the new SDR issue to poorer countries. But a subsequent meeting of the G20 fudged the issue and no formula, conditions or eligible countries have been agreed.

France has committed to reallocate at least some of its new SDRs to Africa. South Africa's President Cyril Ramaphosa has called for 25% of the total issuance, over $160bn, to be allocated to the continent. 

Most immediately useful would be to use $50bn of the SDRs to finance the purchase and distribution of vaccines, according to the IMF's fully costed plan, which proposes proportional contributions from the G7 and G20 economies. Apart from bringing the virus and its variants under control much faster, it would save millions of lives and add trillions to the global recovery, argues the IMF.

Read more

Who runs Gauteng?

As the national political and commercial powerhouse, Gauteng is one of the most contested provinces in the country

Gauteng is South Africa's smallest but most densely populated and richest province, covering 1.5% of the country's land mass, with an estimated population in excess of 15 million...

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The oil economy breaks up

The architects of industry reform bid a long goodbye to oil and welcome the brave new world of gas for all

Energy companies, trades unions and politicians are beginning to get to grips with the prospect of wide-ranging reform of the oil and gas industry, the foundation of the...


Saïed lashes out

Public delight greeted the president's sudden suspension of parliament and dismissal of the premier, but taking the reins himself may spell trouble

President Kaïs Saïed's decision to sack his prime minister, Hichem Mechichi, after the massive anti-government protests on Republic Day (25 July) took few by surprise. They had been...


Election bill deepens rivalries

Trumpeting their commitment to a democratic ethos, the two main parties argue over how to rewrite the electoral rules

For years the National Assembly in Abuja is lambasted as hosting among the best paid but least productive legislators. Then within the same month they steer through two...


Spy chiefs on manoeuvres

Rival security agencies and factions are battling for influence in both Rabat and Algiers, feeding worsening regional tensions

The recent media reports suggesting Moroccan security services were using the Pegasus spyware by Israel's NSO – possibly with the financial support of the United Arab Emirates –...


Election programme stutters

Prime minister Roble gets blamed for the latest hiccup in the elections while President Farmajo exploits clan rivalries in his bid for another term

On Sunday 25 July scheduled elections to the upper parliamentary house were dramatically postponed because of a failure of some committees to form and for others to produce...



Pointers

Crude deal

Government plans to borrow US$1.6 billion to buy back stakes in two offshore licences not yet in development have triggered anger and incredulity from oil industry officials and...


False-flag operation

Two Zambian-flagged merchant ships suspected of shipping weapons to Libya have been stopped in the Mediterranean by European Union naval vessels enforcing the United Nations arms embargo, according...


Going to market

Rwanda became the latest African sovereign to benefit from money markets issuing US$620 million of international bonds on 2 August. The sale, only the second by Rwanda, at...