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Published 5th November 2020

Vol 61 No 22


Uganda

Bad cop, worse cop

Yoweri Museveni. Pic: Anton Novoderezhkin/Tass/PA Images
Yoweri Museveni. Pic: Anton Novoderezhkin/Tass/PA Images

The President’s spies and soldiers are fighting each other, not just the opposition, ahead of elections in February

President Yoweri Museveni has been reshuffling his security chiefs after rivalries broke into the open, threatening the cohesion of the state's repressive apparatus. On 8 October Colonel Kaka Bagyenda was sacked as head of the Internal Security Organisation after it became clear that it was challenging other parts of the security system, especially the military, and accusing them of plotting to overthrow the President.

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Bulldozing to victory

John Magufuli casts his ballot. Pic: Tanzanian State House/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images
John Magufuli casts his ballot. Pic: Tanzanian State House/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

The President has carried out a crude electoral coup and reduced the opposition to a token presence in parliament

After an election campaign dubbed the least free since multiparty democracy began in 1995, President John Magufuli won his second term of office with the biggest majority since...


Generals tighten their grip

Lagos Panel of Inquiry visits Lekki Toll Gate, 30 October 2020. Pic: Olukayode Jaiyeola/NurPhoto/PA Images
Lagos Panel of Inquiry visits Lekki Toll Gate, 30 October 2020. Pic: Olukayode Jaiyeola/NurPhoto/PA Images

Determined to use the #EndSARS protests for their own ends, the securocrats have reasserted their role at the heart of government

The Nigerian army's version of the shootings during the October protests was spelled out at a bizarre press conference in Abuja on 2 November by Attorney General Abubakar...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

For listeners across Africa, United States President Donald Trump's dawn broadcast asserting that he had won the 3 November election and ordering vote counting to stop had a surreal if not unfamiliar quality. Analysts at the Brussels-based Crisis Group have already announced they will monitor the risks of political violence in the US, given the deep polarisation of politics there, rampant hate speech on social media together with armed non-state actors and militias, such as the Boogaloo Movem...

For listeners across Africa, United States President Donald Trump's dawn broadcast asserting that he had won the 3 November election and ordering vote counting to stop had a surreal if not unfamiliar quality. Analysts at the Brussels-based Crisis Group have already announced they will monitor the risks of political violence in the US, given the deep polarisation of politics there, rampant hate speech on social media together with armed non-state actors and militias, such as the Boogaloo Movement and the Proud Boys.

Others are trying to divine what the outcome of the US Presidential elections would mean for Washington's foreign policy. Should Trump retain the presidency, no one expects he would relent on his core aims: trade war with China, and exit from the Paris climate accord and the World Health Organization. He would keep strong ties to Egypt, Israel and Saudi Arabia and would continue to veto Nigeria's Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala as the next director general of the World Trade Organization despite her majority support among members.

Challenger Joe Biden's policy would be close to a mirror image: he would immediately re-join the climate accord and the WHO, and quickly end the block on Okonjo-Iweala. Two of the contenders in the frame to be Biden's Secretary of State, former Ambassador to the UN Susan Rice and Democratic Senator Chris Coons, have extensive Africa experience. But as the electoral disputes rumble in Washington, new diplomatic appointments are some way off.

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Election stirs up apathy

Against a grim backdrop of pandemic economics, voters are uninspired by the choices in next month's elections

Dampened by the pandemic, economic worries and voter fatigue, campaigning for the national elections on 7 December is heading into the final stretch. Jobs and living standards dominate...


Stepping back from the brink

The President nearly broke up his coalition with his predecessor but backed off at the last minute. He still wants a way out

The announcement on 21 October that President Félix Tshisekedi would address the nation in two days generated fevered anticipation that he would dismiss his government, dissolve the National...


Condé shrugs off poll doubts

The incumbent's victory, contested by the opposition and questioned by the European Union, gives him more control of the state than ever

Whether his win with 59.49% of the votes in the 18 October elections was credible or not matters little to President Alpha Condé and his governing team. On...


The 'Ramaphosa Compromise'

The medium-term budget is seen by some as a fudge in the struggle between liberalising reform and preserving the state sector

The government has firmly held the line against the left and the labour movement's efforts to defend ailing state-owned enterprises. President Cyril Ramaphosa is also boosting the Zondo...


Elections and bust

The country goes to the polls in December but the organisation of the vote doesn’t promise improved accountability

At the end of the year citizens are supposed to cast their votes for a new parliament and a new president. An atmosphere of indifference pervades most circles,...


Pandemics stunt your growth

Africa may have dodged a bullet on the Covid-19 health front but most of the economies are in intensive care

One year after the International Monetary Fund predicted that sub-Saharan Africa's economies could expand on average by over 3% this year, the economic outlook is far worse. At...


Hope without optimism for the new deal

War-weary citizens welcome the UN-brokered ceasefire but the foreign sponsors of the conflict have the casting vote

Politicians and fighters in Libya's civil war are due to meet for face-to-face talks in Tunis on 9 November in what will be a key test of the...



Pointers

Sick of everything

The 74-year-old President, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, is seriously ill with Covid-19 while the body politic shows no signs of recovery either. The turnout for the 1 November referendum on...