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Published 14th May 2020

Vol 61 No 10


The plot against Tedros

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. Pic: UN Photo/Elma Okic
Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus. Pic: UN Photo/Elma Okic

After failing to oust the WHO chief, Washington is focusing on protecting its commercial rights to a Covid-19 vaccine

African diplomats are pushing back against an attempt by United States officials to undermine Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus's leadership of the World Health Organisation (WHO) ahead of its general assembly in Geneva, which is due to open on 18 May. They have singled out the role of US ambassador in Geneva, President Donald Trump appointee Andrew Bremberg, who accuses Tedros of bias towards China.

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Keeping the food flowing

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020

Alongside the health and economic threats of the pandemic, tens of millions face hunger as the disease strikes at the food supply chains

This month farmers across Africa are due to start planting for the main growing season. But the lockdown measures imposed to curb the Covid-19 pandemic risk derailing the...


The Magufuli experiment

PPE-making on the outskirts of Dar es Salaam. Pic: Xinhua News Agency/PA Images
PPE-making on the outskirts of Dar es Salaam. Pic: Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

The government’s inconsistent response is making the country a testbed for what happens when the coronavirus spreads rapidly

Tanzania's response to the coronavirus is marked by chaotic frontline healthcare, confused public health messaging, and a commitment to limiting the public's access to information, including by restricting...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

More than 20 African countries were due to hold elections in 2020. But electioneering is difficult and organising polls fraught with problems against a backdrop of lockdown measures to control the coronavirus pandemic.

Ending the lockdown is the only way to return to free elections. The absence of such tough restrictions explains why Burundi and Benin are planning to hold polls in the coming weeks and why Guinea's Alpha Condé pressed ahead with a referendum on 22 March giving h...

More than 20 African countries were due to hold elections in 2020. But electioneering is difficult and organising polls fraught with problems against a backdrop of lockdown measures to control the coronavirus pandemic.

Ending the lockdown is the only way to return to free elections. The absence of such tough restrictions explains why Burundi and Benin are planning to hold polls in the coming weeks and why Guinea's Alpha Condé pressed ahead with a referendum on 22 March giving him the right to stand for two more terms.

For others, postponing polls could lead to a legitimacy crisis. In Ethiopia, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed is facing an angry backlash over his use of a parliamentary vote giving him a questionable extension of his mandate to stay in power beyond September, after he postponed elections due in August.

Malawi faces Hobson's choice: hold the presidential election rerun on 2 July, as instructed by the Constitutional Court, without any campaign rallies, or defer them and allow President Mutharika to stay in power beyond his term.

For authoritarian leaders, Covid-19 offers the perfect excuse to delay polls. Uganda's Yoweri Museveni says it would be crazy to hold elections while the pandemic is raging.

The conditions for party politics to restart are unlikely to be in place for at least a few months. For Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire, where elections are due in October and December respectively, that means a waiting game.

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Into the land of empty

The oil price crash and the pandemic have the potential to force the diversification of the economy and end the patronage system

In the boom times, oil and gas generated 95% of the country's export revenues and the recycling of that cash powered over 60% of the economy. In the...


A clumsy coup

The government expected that curbing the Nairobi governor’s powers would end his career, but the flamboyant Mike Sonko won’t go quietly

The image of suspended Nairobi governor Mike Sonko at State House wordlessly signing powers over to the national government in February appeared to symbolise the presidency's triumph in...


Refugees in crossfire

Ethiopia no longer automatically gives refugee status to fleeing Eritreans. Neither they nor their Tigrayan hosts are happy about it

The Ethiopian federal government's treatment of refugees from Eritrea is causing concern both in the Tigray regional government, with which it is already at odds, and among refugees....


Tsvangirai’s house divided

The struggle for control of the opposition MDC is ramping up as ZANU-PF uses divide and rule to weaken its strongest foe

In-fighting for control of the opposition Movement for Democratic Change is playing into the hands of the ruling Zimbabwe African National Union–Patriotic Front, which hopes to gain international...


Gertler tries to dodge sanctions

By setting up new secret companies and hiring legal advisors close to Donald Trump, the Israeli billionaire plans to counter US penalties

Israeli mining tycoon Dan Gertler's latest plan to sidestep sanctions on his companies in Congo-Kinshasa will test the seriousness of Washington's efforts to crack down on corruption.


On the brink of sovereign default

The government is getting no help from the IMF because it won't stop borrowing unsustainably and covertly

After stopping payments on several commercial loans this year, Zambia is set to default on its US$3 billion Eurobonds, now trading at 'distressed debt' levels, with yields over...


The lockdown finds pushback

The public is starting to tire of one of the world’s strictest restrictions in response to Covid-19 as cracks appear in the political consensus

The armed forces are patrolling the streets to enforce a nationwide curfew from 8pm to 5am as citizens can only exercise between 6am and 9am, and no more...


Who wants an election?

Polls are due at the end of the year but after three years of preparation there is still little prospect of one person, one vote

A fractious and increasingly angry political scene – dominated by growing resentment of the federal government –; is one of several reasons the vision of representative democracy is...



Pointers

Whose cure is it anyway?

Industrialised countries are defending funding research to find a vaccine for Covid-19 out of Official Development Assistance funds against a possible challenge from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation...


Ministers and militias

Far from restoring sanity, the February 2019 Khartoum peace agreement between 14 armed groups has created a new space for bloody competition; they now have access to state...


The governor's governor

President Hage Geingob has courted unaccustomed controversy by appointing his friend, the politically connected businessman Johannes !Gawaxab, to fill the vacancy left by Ipumbu Shiimi as governor of...