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Published 20th February 2020

Vol 61 No 4


Sudan

Beshir's trials begin

Khartoum 12 April 2019: Sudanese soldiers and demonstrators sit on top military vehicles, outside the Defence Ministry a day after the arrest of Omer el Beshir. Pic: Ala Kheir/DPA/PA Images
Khartoum 12 April 2019: Sudanese soldiers and demonstrators sit on top military vehicles, outside the Defence Ministry a day after the arrest of Omer el Beshir. Pic: Ala Kheir/DPA/PA Images

Although the government has opened talks with the ICC, that doesn’t mean the ousted leader will face trial in the Hague any time soon

Reports that the Khartoum transitional government has approved cooperation with the International Criminal Court in the Hague came on 11 February after a flurry of diplomatic initiatives, mostly aimed at getting Sudan removed from the United States' list of state sponsors of terror. The ICC has had a warrant out for Omer el Beshir on three counts of genocide for nearly 10 years.

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Generals on the run

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020

The army is in retreat before the Islamist insurgents. Corruption, indifference and a lack of resources are blamed

Speaking to journalists on 7 February, the army's theatre commander for north-eastern Nigeria, Major-General Olusegun Adeniyi, repeated the government's frequent assertion that Boko Haram has been defeated. Yet...


Opposition in flux

Union Buildings Of South Africa. Pic: JJ / stock.adobe.com
Union Buildings Of South Africa. Pic: JJ / stock.adobe.com

With the main opposition party in turmoil, political players old and new are gearing up to form new political movements

The main South African opposition parties are in an unprecedented state of flux after the resignation of two black leaders rocked the Democratic Alliance late last year. Now...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

If African leaders were confused by the US government's attitude towards their countries and continent, they were surely left none the wiser by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who visited Senegal, Ethiopia and Angola on a whistle-stop tour of the continent this week, his first trip to sub-Saharan Africa since taking office two years ago. 

Critics say that the Trump administration lacks any coherent strategy or interest in its African rel...

If African leaders were confused by the US government's attitude towards their countries and continent, they were surely left none the wiser by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who visited Senegal, Ethiopia and Angola on a whistle-stop tour of the continent this week, his first trip to sub-Saharan Africa since taking office two years ago. 

Critics say that the Trump administration lacks any coherent strategy or interest in its African relations. A trade deal was offered to Kenya early this month, but there is little detail on what the new Prosper Africa trade strategy will look like. Investment is stagnating, even if the new International Development Finance Corporation is intended to be a rival to Chinese investment. 

Pompeo offered little on those fronts. Instead, in Ethiopia, he borrowed a leaf from the EU's playbook, taking a veiled swipe at China, warning that 'countries should be wary of authoritarian regimes and their empty promises' that 'breed corruption, dependency and instability'. 

He also offered mixed messages on security and the US military's role in anti-jihad missions.  'We have an obligation to get security right here, it's what will permit economic growth and we're determined to do that,' said Pompeo in Senegal.

Yet he also indicated the Trump administration wished to withdraw its troops from the Sahel. When Washington has little to offer beyond sanctions and travel bans, wonder critics, what was the point of Pompeo's trip?

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Ramaphosus interruptus

Punctuated by protests, the President gave an eloquent statement but he is leaving the heavy lifting to the finance minister

In the first of two last-chance bids by government to forestall a ratings downgrade on the country's credit rating to junk status, President Cyril Ramaphosa failed to convince...


Territorial armies

An unresolved but dormant decolonisation dispute risks flaring up into renewed violence, threatening a 29-year-old ceasefire

Forty-five years into the conflict over Western Sahara, Morocco remains implacable in its determination to retain what it argues is its historical sovereignty over the disputed former Spanish...


Spoiling for a fight

The President wants to shake up governance of the mining sector, but the companies are pushing back

President Julius Maada Bio put firms operating in the countrys mining sector on notice when he outlined a reform programme at the annual Mining Indaba in Cape Town...


The state of Cyril Ramaphosa

The President's speech to parliament on 13 February will say more about his fragile coalition of reformers than about the country he governs

For the past three decades each State of the Nation speech has been billed as the most important ever. Most – with the honourable exception of Nelson Mandela's...


'Eco'-logical concerns

The mooted new West African currency stands no chance of success unless its architects persuade Abuja to join

Francophone West African countries' decision to convert their CFA franc into a first version of the 'eco', a planned single currency for the whole region, has sparked furious...



Pointers

Itula has another go

Namibia's Supreme Court in Windhoek may have refused on 5 February to order a rerun of last November's presidential election but opposition political parties are still claiming victory.


Unhealthy bank balance

Finance Minister Bwalya Ng'andu's January request for a funded programme from the International Monetary Fund may be in danger from continued borrowing beyond the Treasury's control, financial sources...


Wildlife targets

Botswana has authorised the resumption of licensed elephant hunting, auctioning licences to shoot 60 elephants worth US$2.34 million. It's the first such sale since President Mokgweetsi Masisi rescinded...