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Published 26th October 2018

Vol 59 No 21


Nigeria

Now the race looks serious

Nigeria Elections Maps Copyright © Africa Confidential 2018
Nigeria Elections Maps Copyright © Africa Confidential 2018

The challenger Atiku Abubakar has built a new coalition, but strong northern support for President Buhari will give him staying power

Hell froze over in Nigeria on 11 October. That's when former President Olusegun Obasanjo endorsed his once Vice-President and newly crowned leader of the opposition People's Democratic Party (PDP), Atiku Abubakar. It showed how determined both men, for differing reasons, are to drive President Muhammadu Buhari from power in next February's elections.

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Push-ups and makeovers

Even when faced with an attempted coup d’état, Prime Minister Abiy somehow turned it into a public relations triumph

After disgruntled – and fully armed – troops marched into Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's office in central Addis Ababa on 11 October, initial reports unconvincingly suggested the head...


Poll knocks Frelimo confidence

The ruling party lost some key cities in the local elections. Party reformers are demanding radical change

As Mozambique awaits the final verdict on the local elections of the Comissão Nacional de Eleições (the electoral commission – CNE), due as Africa Confidential went to press,...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

Few of the estimated 700,000 people who marched through central London last Saturday urging a 'People's Vote' – another referendum – on whether the United Kingdom should leave the European Union can have been aware of the potential impact on their cause of a pending law suit in Kimberley, capital of South Africa's diamond-mining area.

The financier Arron Banks, who donated £9 million – the UK's biggest ever political donation – to the Brexit campaign is i...

Few of the estimated 700,000 people who marched through central London last Saturday urging a 'People's Vote' – another referendum – on whether the United Kingdom should leave the European Union can have been aware of the potential impact on their cause of a pending law suit in Kimberley, capital of South Africa's diamond-mining area.

The financier Arron Banks, who donated £9 million – the UK's biggest ever political donation – to the Brexit campaign is in dispute with a former partner in a diamond mine enterprise in South Africa, Christopher Kimber. The 'Hawks' investigative unit is probing Kimber's claims about criminal activity by Banks, who is also accused of setting up a training camp where unlicensed firearms may have been kept. Banks denies any wrongdoing across the board.

One of Kimber's allegations is that Banks was offered lucrative connections with a Russian diamond company, Alrosa, and opportunities in gold-mining in Russia. Kimber says that Banks diverted investment money raised for mining in South Africa and Lesotho to the pro-Brexit website Leave.EU and other anti-EU campaigns, all of which Banks also denies.

Did any of Banks's political donations originate in Moscow? He insists not, but some British 'remainers' are salivating at the possibility of the June 2016 referendum being declared null and void, should it be proved that Moscow gold swung the British electorate against the EU.

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Struggling to keep pace

The high priests of world finance say African economies are falling short of the growth needed to keep up with surging populations

Although the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank maintain that Africa's economies will, on average, expand faster during 2018 than last year, both Washington DC institutions have...


Lining up for battle

Falling support for the President’s party in local elections is a foretaste of the national vote in 2020

The ruling party could only count on mixed results in the just-ended regional and local elections, held on 13 October. President Alassane Dramane Ouattara's Rassemblement des houphouëtistes...


Who speaks for Africa?

African nations are losing out by allowing the EU to set the agenda in talks on a successor treaty to the Cotonou Agreement

Negotiations over a new Cotonou Agreement faced a slow, arduous start owing to divisions on both sides of the bargaining table. The European Union has had to accommodate...



Pointers

Poll blow for Trovoada 

Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada and his ruling Acção Democrática Independente (ADI) emerged from the elections of 7 October as the biggest party, but they lost eight seats and...


Museveni widens the tent

President Yoweri Museveni is to appoint former members of the opposition as ministers, according to a leak of a cabinet list. The President means to divide the opposition...


The flight into Israel

The leader of the supposed Igbo independence movement, Nwannekaenyi 'Nnamdi' Kenny Okwu Kanu, seems to have turned up in Israel after going on the run from a trial...