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Published 7th July 2017

Vol 58 No 14


Kenya

Closer and closer

Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017
Map Copyright © Africa Confidential 2017

As it garners support, the opposition alliance insists that it cannot lose the election unless it is stolen

There is a spring in the step of the opposition National Super Alliance (Nasa) just over four weeks before the general elections. Much of Kenya's political class concedes that the polls are looking far closer than they did six months ago; many are bracing themselves for fierce battles in the Rift Valley and at the Coast (see Map).

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Vote-rigging just got harder

A court has barred the electoral commission in Nairobi from changing results in the constituencies

When the Appeal Court in Nairobi ruled on 23 June that the results of the presidential vote announced at the constituency level should be considered final, it changed...


Polarisation politics

Efforts to enflame north-south relations have triggered widespread condemnation and revived memories of the civil war

Of all the fights to pick in Nigeria, attacking the Igbo people is probably the most incendiary. Perhaps that was the motivation of the northern Arewa Youth Consultative...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

It was 'noises off' that dominated the first summit of the African Union under its new Commission Chairman, Moussa Faki Mahamat, on 3-4 July. As Chad's veteran Foreign Minister, it was hoped that he would be able to make progress on the continent's multiple conflicts, but sundry external political and financial quarrels overshadowed initiatives in the Sahel and the Horn of Africa. The looming crisis in AU o...

It was 'noises off' that dominated the first summit of the African Union under its new Commission Chairman, Moussa Faki Mahamat, on 3-4 July. As Chad's veteran Foreign Minister, it was hoped that he would be able to make progress on the continent's multiple conflicts, but sundry external political and financial quarrels overshadowed initiatives in the Sahel and the Horn of Africa. The looming crisis in AU operations in Somalia next year, when troops from Kenya, Ethiopia and Uganda could pull out and the European Union could end funding for the regional peacekeeping operation, was barely discussed.

The real work on the Sahel conflict was done when the leaders of Mali, Chad, Burkina Faso, Niger and Mauritania met in Bamako on 1-2 July and agreed to form a five-country force to fight terrorist groups in the region. Although the United Nations and the EU are backing it, the United States' refusal to contribute prompted a new panic about financing.

Conflicts such as the Kasai rebellion and the political deadlock in Congo-Kinshasa did not make the agenda. This was despite a strong warning to the AU from Kofi Annan, former UN Secretary General, and nine African former Presidents, that Congo was in grave danger unless a political agreement to hold elections this year was respected. Instead, President Joseph Kabila got the summit to back a resolution condemning 'outside interference' in Congo-K's politics, presumably a reference to European sanctions rather than African Presidents' warnings.

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Action plan to crack the Inga enigma

Congolese officials have asked Chinese and Spanish consortia to join forces to realise the dream of a colossal hydro project at Inga

Some see the call by the Congo-Kinshasa's government for a joint Sino-Spanish plan to develop the much-delayed Inga hydropower project as a political trick to keep both China...


Rock and Kroll

A summary of the much anticipated audit of the secret US$2 billion loans is out. It reveals they were all buck and no bang

The audit by Kroll Associates of the loans to three supposed maritime projects talks about what the US$2 billion loans were not spent on but not where the...


No last trump for AGOA

While the new US leader remains uninterested in Africa, we take a look at prospects for the American version of 'trade not aid'

Few expect Africa to be a priority for President Donald Trump in view of his determination to put 'America First'. Though he has not yet unpicked any of...


Cyril's musical chairs

The presidential hopeful depends on a delicate mix of favours, talent and self-interest to produce his leadership slate

The Deputy President of the governing African National Congress, Cyril Ramaphosa, and his followers are performing an intricate balancing act. They are busy finalising nominations for the top...


Casino Jack plays his hand

A disgraced agent's attempt to profit from introducing Sassou to Trump came to nothing but US lobbyists are raking it in

Known as 'Casino Jack' for his work on behalf of Native Americans setting up casinos, and with a Kevin Spacey movie charting his spectacular rise and fall, Jack...



Pointers

IMF to rescue of CFA

The International Monetary Fund's US$642 million bail-out of Gabon has sparked a flurry of emergency loans to countries in the Communauté économique et monétaire de l'Afrique centrale (CEMAC)...


In a state of suspense

President Edgar Lungu declared a state of emergency on 5 July, confirming the fears of oppositionists. 'If I become a dictator for once, bear with me,' he told...


Escrow case takes wing

Businessmen Harbinder Singh Sethi and James Rugemalira were brought back to Kisutu Resident Magistrates' court in Dar es Salaam on 3 July to face six additional charges over...