Jump to navigation

Ethiopia

Abiy races for funds after debt default

Prime Minister under pressure to conclude restructuring talks with IMF and international creditors as Addis Ababa's finances remain under severe strain

The failure of Abiy Ahmed's government to make a US$33 million coupon payment on its only international government bond in late December confirmed Ethiopia's status as the third African state to default in as many years.

The government had signalled last year that it was keen to negotiate a debt deal with the IMF and Ethiopia was one of four African economies that signed up to the G20's debt workout process, as it seeks to restructure a debt burden of $26 billion to foreign creditors, about half of which is owed to Chinese entities (AC Vol 64 No 16, Abiy ploughs on as economy staggers).

Ethiopia's $1bn Eurobond had been due to mature this year and the $33m payment had been due on 11 December.

Though not a major surprise, default is still a blow to Prime Minister Abiy, who told lawmakers last year that his government had cut debt service costs to 38% of GDP from 59% in 2018.

Government finances have been under severe strain in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic and a two-year civil war, and economic growth has dropped to around 6% from an average of 10% between 2014 and 2017.

Abiy now faces a race against time to conclude talks with both the IMF and Ethiopia's creditors.

The Fund has indicated that a support package worth up to $3.5bn for Ethiopia will be conditional on the government agreeing debt restructuring deals with its creditors. For its part, the Paris Club of lenders has warned that an agreement to suspend debt payments to Ethiopia's creditors – with the exception of China – will be voided if it does not obtain IMF finance by March.



Related Articles

Abiy ploughs on as economy staggers

Multiple insurgencies and the bitter aftermath of the Tigray war weigh heavily on growth and jobs

The harsh realities of most people's living conditions in the country contradict Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's resolute optimism that within two years the economy will be 'free from...


Dry times for a quick election

The government faces elections against a divided opposition: its biggest enemies are the weather and Eritrean President Issayas Afewerki

The political calendar will be dominated by national elections on 23 May. The government wants to avoid a repeat of the violence that followed the 2005 elections, when...


Pushback peril for Abiy

Addis’s radical offer to implement the UN’s ruling on the border is meeting resistance at home and silence in Asmara

The Ethiopian government's announcement that it was ready to implement the 2002 border ruling to try and resolve the freeze in relations with Eritrea has met with worrying...


Lee Jang-Gyu

President, Adama Science and Technology University, Ethiopia

Following an invitation from the late Premier Meles Zenawi, Lee Jang-gyu went to Ethiopia to take the reins of Adama Science and Technology University in...


Heat of war shifts to the centre

Tensions may be easing between Addis and Tigray, but in Oromia the bitterness of ethno-nationalist conflict remains strong

The intensity of violence between Oromo and Amhara communities is militating against Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's attempts to co-opt moderates on both sides, as fresh atrocities multiply and...