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Published 15th May 2009

Vol 50 No 10


Ethiopia

A change is going to come

Image courtesy of Panos Pictures
Image courtesy of Panos Pictures

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After 18 years in power, serious moves are afoot to renew the leadership of the ruling EPRDF

Change is coming to Ethiopia, says Prime Minister Meles Zenawi. It was time the country's political old guard stepped down, he told Africa Confidential in an interview on 3 May. Meles has submitted his resignation and the ruling party discussed it in February - but that does not make it inevitable. If there is a change, it would be more of personnel than policy, he suggested. The issue was not that the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front had ruled for 18 years but that 'the same people have been in positions of leadership throughout the period'. He included himself in 'the old leadership which was leading the EPRDF during the armed struggle and up to now'. When asked if he was expecting 'a collective transition', Meles replied, 'Yes, I think that the next crucial step needs to be taken,' implying that the older generation faced retirement.


The challengers

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While no names have yet been put forward, Prime Minister Meles Zenawi's proposals for change have prompted much discussion behind the scenes. Africa Confidential lists the potential successors...


Until the stout lady sings

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All the party leaders are struggling to keep a grip on their undisciplined comrades

The battle for supremacy within the power-sharing government is taking second place to wrangling for power within the three main parties (AC Vol 50 Nos 8 & 9)....



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

On 4 May, Niger’s President Mamadou Tandja laid the first brick in what will become Africa’s largest uranium mine at Imouraren in Niger. He was joined by Anne Lauvergeon, President of French nuclear conglomerate Areva, and Alain Joyardet, French Cooperation Minister. This followed President Nicolas Sarkozy’s visit to Niamey on 27 March. Neither side will publish the financial terms of the deal, said to be highly disadvantageous to Niger. Environmental groups say that Areva’s previous operations ...
On 4 May, Niger’s President Mamadou Tandja laid the first brick in what will become Africa’s largest uranium mine at Imouraren in Niger. He was joined by Anne Lauvergeon, President of French nuclear conglomerate Areva, and Alain Joyardet, French Cooperation Minister. This followed President Nicolas Sarkozy’s visit to Niamey on 27 March. Neither side will publish the financial terms of the deal, said to be highly disadvantageous to Niger. Environmental groups say that Areva’s previous operations in the area poisoned the water supply. On the same day as the Areva inauguration, Tandja announced a national referendum allowing him to change the constitution and run for a third five-year presidential term, apparently with Sarkozy’s approval. The day before, the government had signed a ceasefire with the mainly Tuareg rebels in the north. The rebels have been fighting for a greater share of mining revenue since February 2007 in a conflict that has killed at least 300 rebels and 80 government soldiers. Tandja met representatives from the three main rebel groups: the Mouvement des Nigériens pour la Justice, the Front des Forces de Redressement and the Front Patriotique Nigérien in Agadez. No timetable for disarmament has yet been set but mediation by Libyan leader Moammar el Gadaffi and French diplomatic pressure have yielded results in the short-term. So, we hear, have payments to rebel groups by Areva to protect their staff: some French diplomats have drawn a comparison with oil companies in the Niger Delta and say the payments could ‘set a dangerous precedent in the long term’.
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Crime and amnesty

Army officers fear prosecution for their role in the violence of last year's elections

Security officers still gaol human rights activists. Jestina Mukoko, Director of the Zimbabwe Peace Project, was re-arrested on insurrection charges on 4 May, along with 14 other activists,...


Votes that don't add up

The rumpus over the rerun governorship election in Ekiti State on 25 April has become a symbol of the national crisis

The political stand-off continued this week in Ekiti State after the Independent National Election Commission (INEC) announced the results of the governorship election on 5 May, which had...


Pragmatism trumps ideology

President Zuma's first cabinet keeps the economic power in the hands of the market-friendly centrists

A night of haggling preceded President Jacob Zuma's 10 May announcement of a new cabinet, which includes people from the left, the centre, black business, populists and even...


Welome back, Chief Tony

The return of Anthony Anenih as Chairman of the Nigeria Ports Authority says more about the President's ethical standards than Anenih's technical skills

Chief Anthony Anenih is Nigeria's ultimate political survivor. In March, 30 years after entering national politics, he was appointed Chairman of the Nigeria Port Authority, the government's second-biggest...


Diamonds lose their shine

Rich people are not buying jewels, so Botswana's budget is in deficit and its people are losing their jobs

The global economic downturn has hit Botswana hard. Decades of diamond-led economic expansion have ground to a halt, as people buy fewer gems (AC Vol 49 No 8)....


The security brigade

Who's who in President Jacob Zuma's security team

President Jacob Zuma's ally Siphiwe Nyanda, a former head of the defence force, was appointed Communications Minister; his numerous defence-related business interests disqualified him from the Defence Ministry....


Pax Guebuzana

Buoyed up by aid and trade, the party in power is sure that it will sweep the coming elections

With national elections due in December, President Armando Guebuza may feel he has achieved most of what he hoped for when he took office nearly five years ago....


Don't blame me!

President Khama's 90% approval rating may not guarantee him an easy victory at the October elections

So far, there are few signs that electors blame the government for the recession and the governing Botswana Democratic Party seems set to win again at the October...



Pointers

Tactical defeat

The Chadian rebel offensive began straight after the Organisation Internationale de la Francophonie had tried to break the stalemate in talks between President Idriss Déby and his civilian...


Open sesame

In diplomatic bartering this week, Khartoum offered limited access in Darfur to some affiliates of the 13 Western aid agencies it expelled on 4 March. Yet, at the...


Franc Afrique

Three important African allies of French President Nicolas Sarkozy could find their French assets under scrutiny after Juge d'Instruction Françoise Desset ruled on 6 May that an anti-corruption...