Jump to navigation

Published 6th July 2023

Vol 64 No 14


Zambia

Hichilema hails 'mission impossible' deal

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023

Lusaka's debt-restructuring brokered by France's Emmanuel Macron resonated more than his summit to redraw the global finance system

A deal to restructure US$6.3 billion of Zambia's foreign debt gives President Hakainde Hichilema much of what he was looking for – a resolution after almost two years of tortuous negotiations and a sharp cut in debt service obligations worth an estimated $5.8bn ahead of the next election in 2026. A creditor source told Africa Confidential the terms were 'unbelievably generous': they include a three-year grace period in which only $75 million a year is due in interest.

READ FOR FREE

Macron makes a U-turn on autocracy

Emmanuel Macron and Faustin-Archange Touadera at the Elysee Palace. Pic: Julien Mattia/Le Pictorium/MAXPPP/Alamy
Emmanuel Macron and Faustin-Archange Touadera at the Elysee Palace. Pic: Julien Mattia/Le Pictorium/MAXPPP/Alamy

France has dropped objections to presidential assaults on democracy in a return of Cold War-style geopolitics designed to exclude Russia

President Emmanuel Macron is leading an international effort, including Rwanda and the UN – with growing United States support – to lift the pressure on President Faustin-Archange Touadéra...


Reliving Darfur's tragic history 20 years on

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2023

The floundering attempts at a ceasefire around Khartoum are ignoring the growing threat of regional conflagration in the west

As international attention flickered on the failing talks in Jeddah mediated by officials from Saudi Arabia and the United States, the war between Sudan's military factions has been...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

The deal to restructure over US$6 billion of Zambia's foreign debt is a triumph for President Hakainde Hichilema, under whose government the country will save billions in repayments if, as is now much more likely, he secures a second term.

Much kudos should go to Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane, who deftly navigated pressures from a smorgasbord of rival creditors. Getting creditors led by China and France to agree the core terms – extending maturities over some 20 years w...

The deal to restructure over US$6 billion of Zambia's foreign debt is a triumph for President Hakainde Hichilema, under whose government the country will save billions in repayments if, as is now much more likely, he secures a second term.

Much kudos should go to Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane, who deftly navigated pressures from a smorgasbord of rival creditors. Getting creditors led by China and France to agree the core terms – extending maturities over some 20 years with a three-year grace period – had looked impossible.

What does this mean for 70 low-income countries owing some $326bn? Zambia's breakthrough, with all its national specificities, is not a blueprint. It reinforces the case for global financial reform, the subject of President Macron's conference in Paris where the deal was announced.

Delegates in Paris struggled to agree on first principles: western treasuries are cutting funds to developing economies; many middle-income countries are chary about the IMF and World Bank doing much more on debt and infrastructure; China's offer of more finance for the multilateral banks is premised on taking a bigger stake in them, and that's anathema to Washington. To break that logjam will require negotiating skills of the kind that established the UN system, over 75 years ago. And they are in short supply, like capital in developing economies.

Read more

A man for all summits

With economic woes at home, President Ruto is pitching himself as a foreign policy player – from climate finance to reform of the African Union

Few expected William Ruto to devote much time to foreign policy when he claimed the presidency after narrowly defeating Raila Odinga in last August's elections. After running an...


All quiet on the Wagner front

The Kremlin's mercenaries are still key to Khalifa Haftar's military strength but he has no interest in stirring up yet more trouble

The current hiatus in Libya's civil war means any effects on the Wagner Group's Libyan operations from the crisis in Russia would have been hard to spot. The...


Prigozhin tests Putin with an African putsch

Russia's mercenary chief was following Hemeti's playbook in Sudan – but his loss of nerve may have repercussions across Africa

As Wagner's putsch led by mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin unfolded in Russia on 23-24 June, many in Africa saw strong parallels with the bid for power launched by...


ANC leaders wade into new ethics row

Risks persist of a return to state capture by corrupt businesspeople and politicians, argues the prime mover of the three-year Zondo investigation

On 22 June, a year after he released the conclusions of his marathon investigation into corruption, Chief Justice Raymond Zondo lambasted parliament and the executive for failing to...


Migration cash dominates vote for top EU jobs

Commission President Von der Leyen allies with Italy's Meloni on African 'Southern Partnership' scheme

European officials have been mulling plans to spend over €10 billion (US$10.9bn) on migration control schemes with Libya, Tunisia and Egypt alongside their current accord with Turkey. With...


Did Moscow hotline end the UN mission?

The mercenary Wagner group will be the main beneficiary as international peacekeepers prepare to quit and jihadists step up attacks

Malian junta leader Col Assimi Goïta pronounced himself 'very satisfied' on his Twitter account following a lengthy phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin on 14 June. The...


An imperial palace in the Yeka hills

Prime Minister Abiy's plan for a government complex overlooking Addis Ababa could cost over $10 billion even as the economy limps along

When Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed came to power five years ago, he said his mother had prophesied that he would be the seventh king of Ethiopia. Many were...



Pointers

No last stand

Surprised relief greeted President Macky Sall's 3 July announcement that he will not seek a third term in next February's election – after months of insisting that he...


Cave-in hits bitcoin miners

Up to 60 Chinese nationals, along with an undisclosed number of Libyans, were arrested in western Libya last month when police discovered major illegal Bitcoin-mining operations.


Totally unmoved

Unphased by a string of lawsuits brought by environmental groups in courts in France and elsewhere, the Uganda National Oil Company (UNOC) has confirmed that drilling at the...