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Published 9th June 2022

Vol 63 No 12


Nigeria

Rival parties set up a battle of the oligarchs

Bola Tinubu and Muhammadu Buhari, Abuja February 2015. Pic:  Afolabi Sotunde / REUTERS / Alamy
Bola Tinubu and Muhammadu Buhari, Abuja February 2015. Pic: Afolabi Sotunde / REUTERS / Alamy

By picking Bola Tinubu and Atiku Abubakar as their flagbearers, the two main parties risk alienating younger voters and extending the political stasis

The ease with which Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Atiku Abubakar defeated their rivals to win their parties' presidential nominations for next February's elections highlights their similarities – super-rich politicians who have spent three decades building up their national networks. But neither has produced convincing strategies to address the country's worst security crises since the civil war in 1967, let alone the lengthening queues of unemployed youths.

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Now the numbers favour Raila Odinga

Pic: @RailaOdinga
Pic: @RailaOdinga

Psephology not ideology informs the rival candidates' campaigns as the election race tightens

With few substantive policies in dispute, the presidential election on 9 August between front runners William Ruto and Raila Odinga is testing their capacity to stitch together the...


Net closes around the Guptas

Jacob Zuma and Atul Gupta in 2012. Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)
Jacob Zuma and Atul Gupta in 2012. Pic: GovernmentZA (CC BY-ND 2.0)

The symbols of the corruption of Jacob Zuma's regime, two of the Gupta brothers face extradition to South Africa

Authorities in the United Arab Emirates and South Africa have been negotiating the extradition of Atul and Rajesh Gupta since their arrest on 6 June by Dubai police...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

When Belgium's King Philippe, visiting Congo-Kinshasa from 6-11 June, returned the Kakungu mask, one of more than 84,000 artefacts looted during colonial rule, he reinforced a trend among Europe's former imperial powers. Belgium is the latest state to take small steps towards returning stolen wealth, expressing regrets for abuses and agreeing to some restitution. British, French and other European museums face growing pressure to return looted artworks to their African homes.

King Phi...

When Belgium's King Philippe, visiting Congo-Kinshasa from 6-11 June, returned the Kakungu mask, one of more than 84,000 artefacts looted during colonial rule, he reinforced a trend among Europe's former imperial powers. Belgium is the latest state to take small steps towards returning stolen wealth, expressing regrets for abuses and agreeing to some restitution. British, French and other European museums face growing pressure to return looted artworks to their African homes.

King Philippe is being accompanied on the state visit by his wife Queen Mathilde and Prime Minister Alexander De Croo. Belgian governments have been lambasted for their reluctance to acknowledge the barbarity of King Leopold II's rule, which left over 10 million Congolese dead from attacks, disease and starvation. Two decades ago, Belgium admitted responsibility for the kidnapping and murder of independence leader Patrice Lumumba. It is finally handing over one of Lumumba's teeth, perhaps the last of his remains, to his family.

Addressing parliament in Kinshasa, King Philippe recognised the 'suffering and humiliation' of the Congolese but shied away from a formal apology. Like most European powers, Belgium fears going down a path that could lead to demands for extensive financial reparations. Following Germany's offer of €1.3 billion to Nambia in reparations for genocide, Berlin's Ethnological Museum is to return artefacts to the country.

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Zuma's securocrats rattle Ramaphosa

A wounded Ramaphosa is consolidating support for a second five-year term but prospects are bleak for the ANC winning outright victory in 2024

Arthur Fraser, the former head of the country's State Security Agency, has called for a criminal investigation against Cyril Ramaphosa, which will badly damage the ruling African National...


Abiy risks Amhara backlash

Abiy seems to be mulling peace with Tigray, but this could pit him against his former allies and deepen other conflicts

While humanitarian aid deliveries to Ethiopia's war-torn northern Tigray region have increased since a truce was announced in March, they have been nowhere near enough to resolve acute...


Mali deals hammer blow to G5 Sahel

Bamako’s withdrawal from the regional bloc came as a shock, and desperate diplomacy will struggle to bring it back to the fold

'The G5 Sahel is dead.' This was the verdict of Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum on 18 May, three days after the Malian military regime announced its withdrawal from...


Bribery accusations engulf government

Revelations in an English court and public anger at the behaviour of top law officers are challenging President Chakwera's authority

The case of businessman Zuneth Sattar, who is being jointly investigated by Malawi's Anti-Corruption Bureau (ACB) and Britain's National Crime Agency (NCA) for alleged bribery over 10 years,...


Hassan Sheikh takes Mogadishu by storm

The new president sets a new agenda, with new foreign friends and ideas to tackle the Al Shabaab insurgents – all amid a devastating drought

President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud's presidency is off to an energetic start with a major reorientation of Somalia's regional alliances, a return to federalist and devolutionary policies, and a...


Sall cuts deal on food crisis

Their visit to Russia causes frustration in Brussels, but AU leaders are winning arguments over the damage caused by Moscow's war on Ukraine

At last week's European Union summit in Brussels, Senegal's President Macky Sall, who also chairs the African Union (AU), appeared to have secured public support from the EU...


Turmoil at the top deepens

The split between the heads of the governing alliance parties is getting wider as the economy declines ever further

President Lazarus Chakwera is attracting widespread public criticism for excessive international travel while the economy festers – as does public opinion of the government – and the gap...


Government to ram through gold scheme

The Agyapa gold plan appears to be going ahead in the face of complaints that it is corrupt, opaque and undervalues a key national resource

President Nana Akufo-Addo's government is pushing forward with the Agyapa gold plan, under which a state company would register in the British tax haven of Jersey and sell...


Why UNITA could cause an upset in August

The party's new leader Adalberto Costa Júnior has overhauled the opposition and is capitalising on discontent with the ruling MPLA

With general elections now set for 24 August, President João Lourenço will face an uphill battle to fend off an opposition candidate widely popular among a younger generation...



Pointers

I spy a third term

President Filipe Nyusi has been handing out rewards, ahead of the ruling Frente de Libertaçao de Moçambique (Frelimo) party congress in September, to proven loyalists from his home...


Name or blame

President Lazarus Chakwera has responded to the crisis caused by the British government's naming of officials in his administration as suspected of corruption by demanding action within 21...


Moscow's missing tankers

As Russia seeks to evade western sanctions on oil and gas exports, mystery surrounds the fate of two super-tankers loaded with 4.2 million barrels of Russian crude oil...