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Published 17th December 2020

Vol 61 No 25


Ghana

A twist in the election tale

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2020

After making big gains in parliament, the opposition rejects the presidential results – the lawyers on all sides will be busy

It was all running like clockwork. The verdict in the national elections on 7 December was set to be free and clear of dispute – more or less a repeat of the seamless process in the 2016 elections, and a strengthening of the three-decade-old multi-party system. But the elections have been none of the above. The main opposition party is crying foul, refusing to recognise the results, and is heading for the courts.

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Abiy's mission in Mekelle

9 December 2020: António Guterres (1st right, rear) and Moussa Faki Mahamat (on screen) attend joint press conference at UN HQ, New York. Pic: Xie E/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images
9 December 2020: António Guterres (1st right, rear) and Moussa Faki Mahamat (on screen) attend joint press conference at UN HQ, New York. Pic: Xie E/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

The government says it's mopping up the last pockets of resistance in Tigray as evidence of Eritrean involvement emerges

Two weeks after he declared the completion of his 'law and order operation' on 28 November with the capture of Mekelle, Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed visited the Tigray...


Washington seals the deal

23 October 2020: Donald Trump speaks on a conference call with leaders of Israel and Sudan and to members of the media about a Sudan-Israel peace agreement. L-R: Brian Hook, Avraham Berkowitz, Steven Mnuchin, Donald Trump, Mike Pompeo, Jared Kushner, Robert C. O'Brien, unidentified, unidentified. Pic: Leigh Vogel – Pool via CNP/DPA/PA Images
23 October 2020: Donald Trump speaks on a conference call with leaders of Israel and Sudan and to members of the media about a Sudan-Israel peace agreement. L-R: Brian Hook, Avraham Berkowitz, Steven Mnuchin, Donald Trump, Mike Pompeo, Jared Kushner, Robert C. O'Brien, unidentified, unidentified. Pic: Leigh Vogel – Pool via CNP/DPA/PA Images

Splits over US pressure to normalise ties with Israel point to a fall-out between civilian politicians and the generals

The removal of Sudan from the United States's list of state sponsors of terrorism, confirmed on 14 December, could prove a lifeline to a country in the grip...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

'Warning lights  – for our societies and the planet – are flashing red' thunders the UNDP's latest report, which introduces a new variable – a country's emissions of carbon dioxide and its material footprint – into its Human Development Index.

The big idea of the report, 'Human Development and the Anthropocene', is that as the earth moves from the Holocene to Anthropocene epoch it will require a radical spirit of ...

'Warning lights  – for our societies and the planet – are flashing red' thunders the UNDP's latest report, which introduces a new variable – a country's emissions of carbon dioxide and its material footprint – into its Human Development Index.

The big idea of the report, 'Human Development and the Anthropocene', is that as the earth moves from the Holocene to Anthropocene epoch it will require a radical spirit of cooperation and policy coordination to save the planet. Trying to frame solutions to discrete problems won't work, it argues. Technology and innovation alone will not avert environmental disaster. It will also take the kind of global cooperation meant to emerge at the COP26 Climate summit in Glasgow in November 2021.

Failure at that summit will exact a devastating price: especially, for the just over 800 million people, many in Africa, whose lives will be wrecked by rising sea levels.

By 2100 the poorest countries in the world could experience up to 100 more days of extreme weather each year if policy commitments agreed in Paris in 2015 are not respected. The report also calls for an international system of carbon taxation. The big oil companies would have to change tack, as would the many states – including in Africa – that offer hefty subsidies via tax rules to fossil fuel producers. The IMF estimates fossil fuel subsidies at over US$5 trillion a year, or 6.5% of global GDP. The stakes are rising. 

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Ace shuffles the deck again

The balance in the ANC’s factional war has turned decisively in the President’s favour, leaving the Secretary-General few options

President Cyril Ramaphosa has scored in the ongoing battle against the faction bent on unseating him with this week's decision by the African National Congress's Integrity Commission that...


President nearer to power

Parliamentary victory for Tshisekedi encourages him to press ahead in his bid to wrest the state from former president Kabila

Former president Joseph Kabila's political coalition, the Front Commun pour le Congo (FCC), which ordinarily has a comfortable majority in the National Assembly, scored a spectacular own goal...


Dauphin goes to the polls

With the main challenger excluded, the opposition will have a tough job preventing the election of Issoufou's designated successor

With the 27 December first round of the presidential election approaching fast, Mohamed Bazoum – who spent 10 years as President Mahamadou Issoufou's right-hand man – is in...


Unbalancing the books

Promises of grand economic growth have been torpedoed by the Covid-19 pandemic and crashing oil prices

This time last year President Muhammadu Buhari and his numerous economic policymakers were optimistic that 2020 could see growth acceleration, job creation, significant infrastructure investments and progress on...


King reaps Saharan dividend

Rabat has secured a big diplomatic win by restoring relations with Israel, but also faces new risks

This summer, King Mohammed VI (M6) told United States presidential son-in-law and Middle East envoy Jared Kushner that Morocco would need a very big reward for restoring diplomatic...


Testing time for elections

The opposition is furious with the dual role of the secret police chief as Farmajo's campaign manager and monitor of election candidates

After months of haggling and bitter verbal conflict, parliamentary elections should take place next month, followed by the presidential election in February. Yet it is becoming increasingly clear...


Condé’s iron resolve

Having won a controversial third term, President Alpha Condé is eyeing growing mineral riches

The long-delayed development of Guinea's headline-grabbing Simandou iron ore project has once again climbed to the top of President Alpha Condé's agenda, as he settles into a much-disputed...


The state’s parallel economy

The finance minister forecasts a turnaround but the central bank’s illicit borrowing could trigger another monetary meltdown

Despite the pandemic and global recession, Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube is predicting a strong economic bounce-back next year – but he is silent about a phenomenal borrowing spree...



Pointers

Two days that changed nothing

Zambia's chances of a bailout from the International Monetary Fund following its default on its Eurobond coupon payments are looking bleak, in spite of conciliatory words from a...


Out of the shadows 

Although he wrote only two novels specifically on Africa, David Cornwell, pen name John Le Carré, who died on 12 December, was a colleague of and friend to...