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Published 28th June 2019

Vol 60 No 13


Singing from the same spreadsheet

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019

Despite growing fears about rising debt levels, the region's finance ministers have unveiled a series of expansionary budgets

The four major players in the East African Community completed the annual ritual of unveiling their national spending plans on 13 June. 'Transforming lives through industrialisation and job creation for shared prosperity' was the theme for the budgets of Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda.

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Mbororo conundrum

Fulani herders – already involved in clashes in the Sahel – are being targeted by unscrupulous politicians and the dangers levels are rising

In Congo-Kinshasa's Haut Uele province, which borders South Sudan and Central African Republic, inflammatory rhetoric from the authorities and civil society against the nomadic, cattle-herding Fulani (or Peuhl),...


Ace helps his allies

As President Ramaphosa purges corrupt politicians from the cabinet, Zuma supporters are grabbing key appointments in parliament

Opponents of South African President Cyril Ramaphosa in the ruling African National Congress have opened a new front in the ruthless campaign to remove him from office by...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

The best construction that can be put on the return of the Zimbabwe dollar and the ban on foreign currencies is that its authors wanted to rein in inflation and crack down on the currency trading rackets that gave politically connected businesses access to cheap US dollars. But it won't fix either problem.

The ban on the use of the US dollar, South African rand and other foreign currencies announced on 24 June will drive the foreign exchange trade further underground. Already, sm...

The best construction that can be put on the return of the Zimbabwe dollar and the ban on foreign currencies is that its authors wanted to rein in inflation and crack down on the currency trading rackets that gave politically connected businesses access to cheap US dollars. But it won't fix either problem.

The ban on the use of the US dollar, South African rand and other foreign currencies announced on 24 June will drive the foreign exchange trade further underground. Already, small-time traders in the centre of Harare are being harassed by police while favoured business people who can organise their trades at arm's length suffer no sanction.

The premise for the reintroduction of the national currency – that there is enough local confidence in it to sustain its official rate of US$1=Zim$5.2 – is palpably false. Before the ban on the US dollar was introduced, the Zimbabwe dollar was trading at half that level and it has fallen further this week.

Neither is there any sign that the return of the Zim dollar will cut inflation, now nudging 100%. As shops repriced their goods in Zim dollars, crossing out the US dollar pricing, customers complained the goods were even more expensive.

Both the main opposition Movement for Democratic Change and the trade unions reject the move and look set to organise protests. The IMF, with which the government has just signed a monitoring agreement, maintains a diplomatic silence.

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The rise of Godwin Emefiele

As the country awaits a new government, four months after elections, the Central Bank Governor has stamped his authority on economic policy

The importance of Godwin Emefiele, governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, to President Muhammadu Buhari's plans was clear as he set out his agenda for the next...


Nobbling Nabil

The establishment has taken fright at popular new politicians, and is trying to kill off genuine challenges to the president and ruling party

A political class absorbed by the painfully long run-up to parliamentary elections on 6 October and the presidential poll on 17 November has suddenly found itself with a...


The politics behind the putsch

The most serious attack so far on Abiy Ahmed’s premiership signals how difficult his reforms will be to achieve

It was a deadly coup de thêatre. The simultaneous slaying of the premier of the Amhara regional state, the second most populous in the federation, and the Defence...


'Rot' in the Commission

A parliamentary probe into the management of the 2017 elections found serial irregularities and recommends possible criminal charges

When, in April, the Kenyan parliament's Public Accounts Committee (PAC) delivered its report on the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission's performance during the 2017 elections, it found the...


Ghazouani’s modest mandate

Ex-President Abdel Aziz has smoothly slipped his placeman into his old job while a reinvigorated opposition failed and the world turned away

Opposition leaders were left with much to ponder after the 22 June presidential election handed Mohamed Ould Cheikh el Ghazouani outright victory on the first ballot with 52%...



Pointers

Militia starts scare

At first sight, it looked like ethnic cleansing by communiqué. The predominantly Dogon militia Dana Ambassagou, led by Youssouf Toloba, issued a statement on 17 June to the...


Gag on security reporting

Burkina Faso's National Assembly voted in a new law on 21 June heavily restricting freedom of speech. Human rights organisations and press freedom advocates are up in arms....


Frelimo on a roll

Voter-registration has been hijacked by the ruling Frente de Libertação de Moçambique, which is blatantly inflating the electoral roll with ghost voters in order to win a clear...