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Published 31st May 2019

Vol 60 No 11


Zimbabwe

Austerity first

Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019
Copyright © Africa Confidential 2019

The Finance Minister’s IMF-backed reforms will impose harsher cuts while aiming to end subsidies for elite farmers

Agricultural subsidy reforms that reach to the heart of Zimbabwe African National Union – Patriotic Front's (ZANU-PF) patronage structure – which underpins the regime – have been negotiated between Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube and the International Monetary Fund and approved by the IMF this week.

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Long shadow of corruption over new order

Celebrating Cyril Ramaphosa's inauguration. Pic: Chen Cheng/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images
Celebrating Cyril Ramaphosa's inauguration. Pic: Chen Cheng/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

David Mabuza’s strategic manoeuvres challenge both his boss’s authority and the plans to reform the economy

On the eve of the expected announcement of his drastically trimmed and revamped cabinet on 27 May, a power struggle erupted between President Cyril Ramaphosa and his deputy...

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Readying for protest

Mnangagwa tightens the noose on civil activists to distract attention from the faltering economy

The arrest of five civic activists on 20 May typifies the crackdown President Emmerson Mnangagwa's government is implementing. Aware of the penury into which most citizens are forced,...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

Although the first two days of the general strike in Sudan designed to pressure the ruling generals to hand power to civilians have had mixed results, there is no prospect of the protesters giving up. The mass sit-in around the Defence Headquarters in Khartoum continues. The numbers thin out during the day as temperatures pass 40 degrees, but every evening tens of thousands go to the main protest site to take Iftar during Ramadan.

Efforts to extend the protests and barricade more road...

Although the first two days of the general strike in Sudan designed to pressure the ruling generals to hand power to civilians have had mixed results, there is no prospect of the protesters giving up. The mass sit-in around the Defence Headquarters in Khartoum continues. The numbers thin out during the day as temperatures pass 40 degrees, but every evening tens of thousands go to the main protest site to take Iftar during Ramadan.

Efforts to extend the protests and barricade more roads have been blocked by the army and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) commanded by General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo 'Hemeti'. Now the RSF is increasing the pressure by bringing more troops to the capital and reinforcing its cordon around the protest site.

The junta's deputy leader, Hemeti is its lead voice, arguing that the protesters' intransigence, not the military's, is blocking the transition. In fact, the stalemate is the result of failure to agree which side would have a majority on the proposed sovereign ruling council.

Ideas such as needing a two-thirds majority for major decisions or a rotating chair for the council haven't won support. Hemeti's plan to hold national elections in the current chaotic conditions shows how far the military is from agreeing to a credible transition and reform. That he proposed it after visiting the United Arab Emirates and Egypt suggests the regime's regional sponsors are in no hurry either.

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Mutharika’s narrow win

The final result had to be decided in court, so narrow was the victory margin and so mired in accusations of rigging

After a bitter, though largely policy-free, campaign in which the main candidates jockeyed for ethnically advantageous alliances while flinging accusations at each other, the High Court finally awarded...


Troubles mount for Buhari

There will be no radical changes in economic policy but a reshuffle of the security chiefs is probable and long overdue

It may have been lack-lustre economy or the deepening national security crisis but President Muhammadu Buhari's swearing-in on 29 May was a morose affair. It was also short...


A shake-up takes shape

In spite of Kabila’s enduring power, politics is on the move, militias are mobilising, and fresh alliances are forming

The return to Congo-Kinshasa after three years in exile of Moïse Katumbi, the former Governor of Katanga, is set to shake up national politics even as ex-President Joseph...


Between Blaise and jihad

Party manoeuvring for elections in 2020 coexists with intercommunal slaughter in rural areas. Then the deposed president turns up

While the jihadists register notable successes and violence increases, attention begins to turn towards the conventional politicians and what they can offer the people in the elections of...


Little cash, no credit

The liquidity crisis continues while the exchequer has a different kind of problem with liquids to deal with

The government's chronic shortage of cash has resulted not only in late payment of salaries for public servants, but also in a four-week default on a large loan...



Pointers

Father of the bridge

Investors and contractors were invited to attend a conference on 3 May in Freetown to express interest in the proposed bridge over Tagrin Bay which is intended to...