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Published 23rd February 2018

Vol 59 No 4


Ethiopia

The edifice cracks

Hailemariam Desalegn Pic: Sun Ruibo/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images
Hailemariam Desalegn Pic: Sun Ruibo/Xinhua News Agency/PA Images

First a concession, then a crackdown. The ruling party's divisions over how to respond to growing revolt are on show

After the most tumultuous week in Ethiopian politics for years, which included the resignation of Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn, hardliners appear to be reasserting themselves in the accustomed manner.

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Kabila squeezes the miners

A row between government and mining companies over profits and taxes could escalate the country’s crisis

Western mining companies – led by Glencore and Randgold – are readying for battle with President Joseph Kabila over the government's plans to hike taxes and royalties on...


After Tsvangirai

Leadership rivalries within the opposition could leave ZANU-PF with a clear run at this year's elections

The death of veteran opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai, announced on 14 February, has prompted a massive show of grief and support for one of the doughtiest campaigners against...



BLUE LINES
THE INSIDE VIEW

Public debt is spiralling and the International Monetary Fund is back in business in Africa. That figures. But it's not a straight rerun of the testy relationship of the 1980s and 1990s.

Now, countries such as Ghana and Zambia are lower-middle-income countries. That means no more cheap money from the Fund or the World Bank. But their imprimatur is essential for a government to issue bonds.

G...

Public debt is spiralling and the International Monetary Fund is back in business in Africa. That figures. But it's not a straight rerun of the testy relationship of the 1980s and 1990s.

Now, countries such as Ghana and Zambia are lower-middle-income countries. That means no more cheap money from the Fund or the World Bank. But their imprimatur is essential for a government to issue bonds.

Ghana's government inherited a debt nightmare from its predecessor but is ploughing an independent course. It has already raised US$2.5 billion in bonds to help restructure its debt commitments. It's also talking to Germany and China about longer-term financing deals but is in no hurry to negotiate a new deal with the IMF.

Zambia, in contrast, faces an increasingly threatening debt mountain, after reports of reckless state procurement. Although the government is negotiating a $1.3 bn. loan from the IMF, it adopts a tough rhetorical position. Last week, the IMF told Zambia that it would have to get Beijing to give a state guarantee to a loan offered by a private Chinese company. No one in Lusaka wanted to talk about that. Similarly, no one in President Koroma's government in Freetown wanted to talk about the IMF's decision to stop disbursements to Sierra Leone after a free-spending and electioneering budget. Or some, like the Kenyan government, simply insist there is no problem with its IMF programme, some six months after Fund has stopped disbursements.

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'Feigned lawsuit' bid to foil US

US authorities say bogus litigation is being used to try to prevent the seizure of Nigerian oil traders' assets

A string of unusual lawsuits is frustrating law-enforcement agencies' attempts to seize assets belonging to oil traders accused of becoming extraordinarily wealthy because they were cronies of Diezani...


A Saint Valentine's Day massacre, of sorts

After Zuma's messy fall, new President Ramaphosa has to revive the economy, social welfare and his party

When it came, the end for Jacob Zuma came quickly. A week before, he was brusquely rebuffing polite entreaties by senior African National Congress politicians to resign from...


'Usual suspects' face challenge

With two weeks to polling day, the field is surprisingly open among those wooing voters for the chance to succeed Koroma

To many, the scandal surrounding the government's misuse of IMF funds to prime the electoral pump for the benefit of the ruling All People's Congress typifies the country's...


Zuma goes down fighting

The ANC reaches crunch point in the Zexit talks as the State President goes to the wire trying to ease the terms for his departure

The African National Congress has decided to remove President Jacob Zuma from office after a tenure dogged by corruption, scandal and economic stagnation. The dramatic decision came in...


An inspector calls, no longer

Once Museveni's devoted chief enforcer, General Kale Kayihura has fallen from grace in a tussle for security control

Once regarded as the most powerful general in Ugandan internal security circles, the Inspector General of Police, General Kale Kayihura, has fallen from President Yoweri Museveni's favour. Kayihura...



Pointers

Auntie Pat's spat

The opposition Democratic Alliance, which runs the drought-stricken Western Cape, is embroiled in a battle to rid itself of Patricia de Lille, Mayor of Cape Town, the provincial...


The Tinubu test

If aspiring candidates want to know which way the political wind is blowing, they watch Bola Tinubu, the former governor of Lagos State. After several months of froideur...