Vol 58 No 3 | SOMALIA Another Kenya army base hit 3rd February 2017 The Kenya Defence Force suffered a devastating blow at the hands of Al Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen on 27 January when the jihadists overran an army base...
Vol 58 No 1 | SOMALIA Surviving elections and jihad 6th January 2017 Calming the controversies of the electoral process will occupy the government. Security will remain precarious across the country The agonising electoral process has raised as many problems as it has solved. The highly disputed selection of members of parliament – which will lead eventually to the...
Vol 57 No 25 | SOMALIA Electoral process stumbles but stays on track 2nd December 2016 The tortuous parliamentary selection needs more time, but the chances are that Hassan Sheikh, despite losing international confidence, will win No Somali President was elected on 30 November, as scheduled, but it looks now as though the process will be brought to a conclusion by 15 December. It...
Vol 57 No 23 | SOMALIA ISIS's Puntland stunt 18th November 2016 The brief seizure of Qandala by Da'ish supporters was made possible by a rupture in the clan alliances governing Puntland After long seeking a foothold in Somalia, ISIS's Somali followers finally pulled off a coup by seizing the port of Qandala on 26 October. Capturing the Puntland...
Vol 57 No 23 | ETHIOPIASOMALIA Shabaab fills Ethiopian vacuum 18th November 2016 Ethiopia has been withdrawing forces from Somalia in order to help restore order at home, say military observers, and Al Haraka al Shabaab al Mujahideen has moved in...
Vol 57 No 20 | SOMALIA Electoral roads to federalism 7th October 2016 As the country goes to the polls, the base is broader but will the government that emerges be more legitimate than its predecessors? Four years ago, general elections took place in Mogadishu in a hectic atmosphere created mostly by an international community determined to show that the political transition was over....
Vol 57 No 20 | SOMALIAUGANDA Coordinated exit 7th October 2016 In June, General Edward Katumba Wamala, Chief of the Defence Forces, announced plans to withdraw Ugandan troops from Somalia by the end of 2017. That echoed recent signs...
Vol 57 No 12 | KENYASOMALIA Stand-off over Dadaab 10th June 2016 Refugee experts and diplomats are divided on whether Kenya is serious about its stated intention to close down the huge Dadaab refugee camp in November, Africa Confidential is...
Vol 57 No 10 | SOMALIA US comes to struggling Amisom's aid 5th May 2016 The African Union member countries are at odds, leaving US air power – and some propaganda – to make up for military failures The international coalition against Al Harakat al Shabaab al Mujahideen has been relying recently on a war of words – as well as United States drones and Special...
Vol 57 No 5 | SOMALIA Amisom struggles 4th March 2016 A funding gap and a string of defeats head a long list of problems for the African alliance fighting Islamist militants The health of the African Union Mission in Somalia is still in question after the leaders of the troop-contributing countries ended a crucial summit on its financing and...