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After prayers, no miracles

Foreign Minister Ali Ahmed Kurti must have prayed that his presence at the United States 'National Prayer Breakfast' on 5 February and talks with US officials would yield...


US security and Chinese capital

There’s a build-up of arms and fighters in the Upper Nile oil fields amid doubts about the latest ceasefire deal

An innovative alliance between United States' security expertise and Chinese capital – in the form of a Hong Kong-registered company called Frontier Services Group (FSG) – is giving...


What the prosecutor saw

The ICC has now published its brief for the abandoned case against Kenyatta. It reveals a brutal and cynical conspiracy

The International Criminal Court has released a summary of the crimes it believes President Uhuru Kenyatta has committed. The document from the ICC's Office of the Prosecutor contains...


ICC murder mystery

Much confusion surrounds the abduction and apparent murder of a witness in the ICC trial of William Ruto and Joshua Sang

The hurried burial at sunset on 22 January of a corpse said to be that of Yusuf Hussein, a 25-year-old matatu (minibus) conductor, has deepened the mystery surrounding...


The federation tango

The President’s new cabinet will face the same intractable issues as the last. Lack of international patience is another problem

Last month, President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud survived a political crisis and finally sacked Prime Minister Abdiweli Sheikh Ahmed Mohamed, enabling him to appoint a new cabinet (a report...


More presidential powers

As the regime clamps down further, a united opposition looks to the future

This year the National Congress Party (NCP) government faces a more united and effective opposition and a free-falling oil price which will more than halve export earnings. On...


Sejusa’s mystery return

The former security boss made a deal to come home but things haven’t gone smoothly

The maverick former intelligence chief, General David Sejusa (aka Tinyefuza), found himself at the centre of a siege by armed police this month, despite having returned from exile...


Long tunnel, glimmer of light

A step has been taken to end the fighting and towards a lasting political agreement. Weak oil prices put more pressure on the government

A tentative step forward has been made with a political reunification deal signed in Arusha on 21 January between President Salva Kiir Mayardit and his sacked Deputy Riek...


Economy up, security down

With strains appearing in the Jubilee Coalition, the opposition will exploit the government’s political and security problems

The grisly image of the decomposing and mutilated body of Meshack Yebei, a witness in Deputy President William Ruto's case at the International Criminal Court will keep this...


Not a popularity contest

The EPRDF won’t allow the recovering opposition to test its electoral support and will tightly manage the coming elections

The most certain outcome in 2015 will be a sweeping electoral victory for the governing Ethiopian Peoples’ Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) and another five years in office for...


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