Jump to navigation

Fissures in the Horn triggered by UAE and Saudi Arabia sponsorship

Sudan's walk out from IGAD is latest sign of deepening rivalries in the Horn of Africa

The growing fissures among East Africa's leaders over the civil war in Sudan were on show at last week's Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) summit in Kampala, and the decision by the military regime in Khartoum to suspend its membership of the bloc undermines hopes of IGAD brokering peace talks (AC Vol 64 No 23,Amid regional chaos, a glimmer of hope in Jeddah and Addis).

Sudan Armed Forces leader Abdel Fattah al Burhan had  protested IGAD's decision to invite Rapid Support Forces commander General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo 'Hemeti', to the summit in Uganda, and refused to participate.

At its summit on 18 January, IGAD reiterated its call for 'an immediate and unconditional ceasefire' in the 'unjust war affecting the people' of Sudan and offered itself as a mediator of face-to-face meetings between Hemeti and Burhan.

Other inter-regional disputes are adding to the fractures among leaders. Over the weekend, Kenya's foreign minister Musalia Mudavadi was forced to deny reports that relations between his government and Sudan have deteriorated, in part because of President William Ruto's relationship with Hemeti. The Ruto government has also had a series of trade disputes with Uganda and Tanzania.

Hemeti, who has diplomatic and military support from the United Arab Emirates, has stepped up his diplomatic efforts in East Africa in recent weeks, having audiences with Uganda's Yoweri Museveni and Ethiopia's Abiy Ahmed (Dispatches 2/1/24, Hemeti joins rival in search for regional allies).

On New Year's Day, Hemeti signed a declaration with Sudan's former civilian prime minister Abdalla Hamdok and the pro-civilian Coordination of Civil Democratic Forces (Taqaddum) pledging support for a transition to civil rule. Taqaddum has been trying to elicit a similar agreement from Gen Burhan without success so far.



Related Articles

Amid regional chaos, a glimmer of hope in Jeddah and Addis

As the devastating stalemate between Burhan's and Hemeti's forces continues, the pressure for a ceasefire is mounting

The resumption of peace talks in Jeddah between Sudan's warring factions on 26 October just as the Israel-Hamas war was escalating was more than a show of diplomatic...


A new deal in the East

Industralisation efforts, protectionism and higher taxes dominate the region's budgets this year

Industrial policy is in and Western aid is out; the state is back and the market is pushed back; economic nationalism is up, as is scepticism about globalisation....


Trader beware!

Chinese traders already feeling the heat from local competitors in Kenya, Malawi and Uganda now face new regulations and restrictions to their activities after protests by local businesses....


Spiralling prices dominate budgets

Uganda’s and Tanzania's oil and gas plans offer little short-term help amid ballooning state deficits and public debts

As East Africa's economies began to emerge from the Covid-19 pandemic, the effects of the war in Ukraine on food supply and inflation have been a hammer blow...

READ FOR FREE