Jump to navigation

Zambia

Debt deal teeters on the brink of collapse

G20 creditor committee rejects revised Zambia agreement, potentially deterring other countries from applying and putting the relief programme at risk

The threats to Zambia's painstakingly agreed debt restructuring deal could be the last nail in the coffin on the Group of 20's Common Framework debt relief programme.

Last week's decision by the Official Creditors Committee to reject a revised deal on the grounds that it breached the 'comparability of treatment principle' – where no creditor should receive more favourable treatment than the others – and did not provide enough debt relief has sent the government in Lusaka and bondholders back to the drawing board.

'The OCC is inexplicably blocking the path to restoring Zambia's debt sustainability by dictating terms it has no right to define,' said bondholders in a statement, adding that 'the OCC's intransigence risks inflicting severe damage to Zambia's economy and poses an existential threat to the entire viability of the Common Framework, impacting the emerging markets asset class.'

The bondholders were set to take a bigger upfront haircut than China – Zambia's largest bilateral creditor – which has agreed to restructure $4.1 billion.

Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane has complained that the delays have hit economic growth, weighed on local financial markets and increased the cost of living.

Praising President Hakainde Hichilema's government for its role in brokering the agreement, the International Monetary Fund had previously said it would use the deal as a template for other nations such as Ethiopia and Ghana that are also seeking debt restructuring under the G20's Common Framework.

However, no country has brokered a debt relief deal based on the G20 programme since its creation in 2020, and Zambia's travails are likely to further discourage other debt-distressed African countries from following Lusaka's path.



Related Articles

Copper-bottomed

The likeliest beneficiary of Zambia's copper privatisation fiasco is the company the Zambians were anxious to keep out - Anglo American, the South African mining giant. After years...


The Russians are coming

Looking for big projects and with plenty of cash, three Russian companies are ready to invest in Zambia's mines

Three Russian companies plan to inject over US$2 billion into Zambia's mining sector. If this project is successful, it will be the country's single biggest foreign direct investment....


Patriotic front on back foot

The governing Patriotic Front is looking more and more like a personal vehicle for President Edgar Lungu, now that a splinter party with a strong footing in the...


Success unseen

Zambia grows richer but people feel poorer and they blame the President

Political fumbling is overshadowing real economic achievements. President Levy Mwanawasa has failed to deliver a constitution and the anti-corruption crusade against his predecessor, Frederick Chiluba, shows few results....


Can mega discovery end debt impasse?

Bad management and lack of accountability – not the lack of new finds – have held back the mining business

After its two year-long attempt to restructure US$4 billion in dollar bonds fell apart last November, President Hakainde Hichilema's government has been turning to its mining industry to...