Jump to navigation

Zambia

Debt deal teeters on the brink of collapse

G20 creditor committee rejects revised Zambia agreement, potentially deterring other countries from applying and putting the relief programme at risk

The threats to Zambia's painstakingly agreed debt restructuring deal could be the last nail in the coffin on the Group of 20's Common Framework debt relief programme.

Last week's decision by the Official Creditors Committee to reject a revised deal on the grounds that it breached the 'comparability of treatment principle' – where no creditor should receive more favourable treatment than the others – and did not provide enough debt relief has sent the government in Lusaka and bondholders back to the drawing board.

'The OCC is inexplicably blocking the path to restoring Zambia's debt sustainability by dictating terms it has no right to define,' said bondholders in a statement, adding that 'the OCC's intransigence risks inflicting severe damage to Zambia's economy and poses an existential threat to the entire viability of the Common Framework, impacting the emerging markets asset class.'

The bondholders were set to take a bigger upfront haircut than China – Zambia's largest bilateral creditor – which has agreed to restructure $4.1 billion.

Finance Minister Situmbeko Musokotwane has complained that the delays have hit economic growth, weighed on local financial markets and increased the cost of living.

Praising President Hakainde Hichilema's government for its role in brokering the agreement, the International Monetary Fund had previously said it would use the deal as a template for other nations such as Ethiopia and Ghana that are also seeking debt restructuring under the G20's Common Framework.

However, no country has brokered a debt relief deal based on the G20 programme since its creation in 2020, and Zambia's travails are likely to further discourage other debt-distressed African countries from following Lusaka's path.



Related Articles

Sata health fears grow

President Michael Sata was flown to Johannesburg on 26 May after a sudden deterioration in his health, Africa Confidential has heard. He had been expected to open the...


Hichilema hails 'mission impossible' deal

Lusaka's debt-restructuring brokered by France's Emmanuel Macron resonated more than his summit to redraw the global finance system

A deal to restructure US$6.3 billion of Zambia's foreign debt gives President Hakainde Hichilema much of what he was looking for – a resolution after almost two years...

READ FOR FREE

Copper-clad deals

Under opposition pressure, the government seeks better terms from the latest set of investors in its copper mines

The world price of copper has taken a tumble. Despite the talk of a never-ending Chinese-driven boom, the price of the metal on the London Metal Exchange has...


Post mortem

When the Lusaka High Court 'provisionally' closed independent newspaper and website The Post on 2 November, its Editor and owner, Fred M'membe, told his confidants, 'It's time to...


Intrigue at State House

A coterie of colourful advisors around President Lungu is competing for influence and contracts

Tussles for supremacy among President Edgar Lungu's key advisors have claimed scalps in his ever-smaller inner circle. One of the most important was that of former journalist Amos...