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How Hemeti’s drone attacks reshaped the war

RSF targets facilities near Port Sudan airport, 4 May 2025. Pic: (still) @TurtleYusuf
RSF targets facilities near Port Sudan airport, 4 May 2025. Pic: (still) @TurtleYusuf

After the latest strikes on Port Sudan, the rival factions may have to choose between total war or negotiations

When the Rapid Support Forces launched a fusillade of drones against Port Sudan on 4 May, they once again changed the terms of engagement in the devastating two-year civil war. Backed by the United Arab Emirates, the RSF targeted oil facilities, a power station, a hotel frequented by top officials and foreign diplomats, as well as offices used by the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) leadership.


Abiy bans Tigray party, risking new war

Abiy Ahmed. Pic: @AbiyAhmedAli
Abiy Ahmed. Pic: @AbiyAhmedAli

After a devastating two-year war with Addis Ababa, the TPLF faces bureaucratic extinction

When the National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) deregistered the Tigray People’s Liberation Front on 14 May, it raised fears of a new war in northern Ethiopia. This...


Paris all at sea over Africa reset

Andry Rajoelina and Emmanuel Macron, Antananarivo April 2025. Pic: @EmmanuelMacron
Andry Rajoelina and Emmanuel Macron, Antananarivo April 2025. Pic: @EmmanuelMacron

President Macron’s new policy ideas keep foundering on the domestic priorities of African leaders

Two more sharp reminders of the cultural and political realities have jolted President Emmanuel Macron as he struggles to reshape France’s relations with Africa which have reached a...


Capital dominates the race to run Africa’s biggest bank

Candidates for the AfDB Presidency debate at the Brookings Institution, Washington, April 2025. Pic:@BrookingsInst (still)
Candidates for the AfDB Presidency debate at the Brookings Institution, Washington, April 2025. Pic:@BrookingsInst (still)

Shrinking funds will force the new president to be more creative, tapping into Asia and the Gulf States

The spiralling cost of capital, foundering efforts to restructure public debt and the election of a successor to Akinwumi Adesina as president of Development Bank (AfDB) are topping...


HH tries to take Lungu out of the game

Pic: @HHichilema
Pic: @HHichilema

The President is so fearful for his re-election prospects that he is using threats and inducements to persuade his former foe to leave politics

Although he beat ex-President Edgar Lungu by a landslide in the 2021 election, President Hakainde Hichilema believes his old enemy is an obstacle to his hopes of re-election...


Tinubu wants to borrow $24 billion ahead of 2027 elections

NIGERIA: FALLING OIL PRICES TO HIT NATIONAL FINANCES
NIGERIA: FALLING OIL PRICES TO HIT NATIONAL FINANCES

After two years of harsh reforms, the government aims to win back support with the country’s biggest ever public spending programme

As President Bola Ahmed Tinubu was preparing to mark two years in power on 29 May, his allies in the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) declared the 73-year-old...


Dubaiba is set to lose his militia gamble

Abdel Hamid Dubaiba
Abdel Hamid Dubaiba

The worst fighting in Tripoli for 80 years has sparked protests demanding the prime minister’s exit

Anger with the Government of National Unity (GNU) of Prime Minister Abdel Hamid Dubaiba was already on the rise when one of the militia-infested capital’s most powerful chiefs,...


Salva’s man to overturn US visa ban

Salva Kiir Mayardit. Pic: @SouthSudanGov
Salva Kiir Mayardit. Pic: @SouthSudanGov

South Sudan’s President Salva Kiir Mayardit is the latest African leader to enlist a Republican-linked lobbying firm on K-Street, hiring Scribe Strategies & Advisors on a six-month, $500,000...


Economic green shoots lift Mahama’s first 100 days

President John Dramani Mahama instructs Attorney General Dominic Ayine to commence investigations into the findings of the ORAL committee, February 2025. Pic: @JDMahama
President John Dramani Mahama instructs Attorney General Dominic Ayine to commence investigations into the findings of the ORAL committee, February 2025. Pic: @JDMahama

Tax cuts, an easing of the debt burden and promises of anti-corruption probes fire up the president’s base

It was the depth of Ghana’s economic crisis that swept John Dramani Mahama and the National Democratic Congress to such a decisive victory in the presidential and parliamentary...

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Tinubu’s tax revolution tightens his grip

Bola Tinubu. Pic: @DOlusegun
Bola Tinubu. Pic: @DOlusegun

These radical reforms will generate more revenue and help the president’s business allies but may weaken several state governors

With the passing of four tax bills this month – described as the most radical revenue reforms in Nigeria’s history – President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has won some...


The Gadaffi billions – how Libya plans to reclaim the stolen wealth

Libya's oil and gas resources: at the centre of the political fight
Libya's oil and gas resources: at the centre of the political fight

Colonel Moammar el Gadaffi stashed billions in US banks, and now Libya’s power brokers are vying for control of this hidden fortune. The scramble for wealth has ignited a fierce political battle in Tripoli – one so ruthless that the official leading the recovery has been forced into hiding, fearing for his life. An Africa Confidential Special Report by John Hamilton our North Africa correspondent and managing director of Cross-Border Information.

After three months in illegal detention – partly in one of Libya’s most brutal prisons – Mohammed al Mensli, Director-General of the Libyan Asset Recovery and Management Office...

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Muscat joins the scramble for Africa

Building ties: Oman and Tanzania. Pic: @OmanChamber
Building ties: Oman and Tanzania. Pic: @OmanChamber

Oman is joining the wave of Gulf Arab states reaching out to Africa with unprecedented levels of strategic investment and bilateral agreements


Ankara and UAE jostle over Mogadishu

Hassan Sheikh Mohamud meets with Turkey’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, 12 April 2025. Pic: @TheVillaSomalia
Hassan Sheikh Mohamud meets with Turkey’s Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan, 12 April 2025. Pic: @TheVillaSomalia

Hassan Sheikh has an image problem but foreign states want to keep him dependent on them


Auxillia courts the London crowd

Auxillia Mnangagwa. Pic: @ZimFirstLady
Auxillia Mnangagwa. Pic: @ZimFirstLady

Under sanctions for grand corruption, Zimbabwe’s First Lady is due to address a conference in London where Labour MPs are expected